TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089289
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119118––––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 61–50 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 50 of their 111 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:00What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khamurda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-50 in 111
Khamurda
Correct
gap of 11 in 111, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1577 vs Hrynenko 1672
Hrynenko
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 60% vs Hrynenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 60% vs Hrynenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda -2 · Hrynenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khamurda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 1.73 / Hrynenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khamurda)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13089289
Khamurda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 111 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 65 of 85
Hrynenko2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 151 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhamurda6wins
AwayHrynenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhamurda100%5 of 5
AwayHrynenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda5Hrynenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Khamurda5Hrynenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Khamurda7Hrynenko3n = 10Khamurda took 7 of 10
S4Khamurda3Hrynenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Khamurda2Hrynenko1n = 3Khamurda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhamurdaHrynenkoK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.7+2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 883 vs 423 / 90152.6%47%464 / 883 vs 423 / 901Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaKhamurda 1.73/Hrynenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khamurda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 23:35V. Khamurda—6760K. Hrynenko—1111113
LJul 28 · 03:25V. Khamurda—714791K. Hrynenko—111211113
WJul 25 · 24:35V. Khamurda—1411123K. Hrynenko—129100
WJul 19 · 24:35V. Khamurda—1211113K. Hrynenko—10940
WJul 16 · 22:55V. Khamurda—119911113K. Hrynenko—91111452
WJul 14 · 21:55V. Khamurda—1111113K. Hrynenko—8430
WJul 7 · 03:25V. Khamurda—7111110123K. Hrynenko—118612102
LJul 3 · 21:05V. Khamurda—1391112102K. Hrynenko—1511810123
LJun 29 · 22:55V. Khamurda—591151K. Hrynenko—11118113
WJun 24 · 15:55V. Khamurda—11611123K. Hrynenko—7118101
V. Khamurda10
LSep 8 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.831199141D. Derevynskyi1.8391111163LSep 8 · 24:25V. Khamurda1.73811971R. Gnoevoy2.0011811113LSep 7 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.6712791272S. Skachenko2.1010111110113WSep 7 · 21:25V. Khamurda2.6391114113S. Abalmaz1.441171231WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151LSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 8 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.001112310133S. Abalmaz1.737101112112LSep 8 · 24:55K. Hrynenko2.0011113892S. Skachenko1.73981111113WSep 7 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.44831191K. Hrynenko2.6311119113WSep 7 · 22:25K. Hrynenko2.201112113R. Gnoevoy1.6181090WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113
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