TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088633
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Khamurda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118911711––
Roman Gnoevoy
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:52 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii Khamurda to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Khamurda above · Roman Gnoevoy below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vitalii Khamurda at 54.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Khamurda 124–67 Roman Gnoevoy Roman Gnoevoy has won 67 of their 191 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khamurda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
124-67 in 191
Khamurda
Wrong
gap of 57 in 191, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khamurda 1591 vs Gnoevoy 1528
Khamurda
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khamurda 80% vs Gnoevoy 20%
Khamurda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khamurda 60% vs Gnoevoy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khamurda -1 · Gnoevoy -4
Gnoevoy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khamurda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gnoevoy form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhamurda 1.73 / Gnoevoy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khamurda)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088633
Khamurda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 111 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 65 of 85
Gnoevoy2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 110 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhamurda8wins
AwayGnoevoy2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhamurda leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhamurda100%5 of 5
AwayGnoevoy40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khamurda5Gnoevoy5n = 10split evenly
S2Khamurda3Gnoevoy7n = 10Gnoevoy took 7 of 10
S3Khamurda5Gnoevoy5n = 10split evenly
S4Khamurda6Gnoevoy1n = 7Khamurda took 6 of 7
S5Khamurda5Gnoevoy0n = 5Khamurda took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhamurdaGnoevoyK − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.635.9+3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhamurdaGnoevoyBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 882 vs 410 / 81752.6%50.2%464 / 882 vs 410 / 817Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhamurdaKhamurda 1.73/Gnoevoy 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.1%
Khamurda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gnoevoy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda—117111113R. Gnoevoy—91131182
LSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda—41270R. Gnoevoy—1114113
WAug 31 · 21:25V. Khamurda—711813113R. Gnoevoy—113111162
WAug 31 · 03:25V. Khamurda—111311113R. Gnoevoy—915961
WAug 28 · 13:05V. Khamurda—1111113R. Gnoevoy—8740
WAug 27 · 23:55V. Khamurda—811811113R. Gnoevoy—11411322
WAug 13 · 22:55V. Khamurda—113311113R. Gnoevoy—41111482
LAug 11 · 13:55V. Khamurda—61270R. Gnoevoy—1114113
WAug 11 · 01:25V. Khamurda—12811113R. Gnoevoy—1011541
WAug 6 · 21:25V. Khamurda—771111123R. Gnoevoy—111195102
V. Khamurda10
LSep 7 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.6712791272S. Skachenko2.1010111110113WSep 7 · 21:25V. Khamurda2.6391114113S. Abalmaz1.441171231WSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182WSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830WSep 4 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.5011118113S. Abalmaz1.50981151LSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.8391111113T. Ponomarenko1.83118261WSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161LSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113LSep 2 · 24:25V. Khamurda2.509990S. Abalmaz1.501111113
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 7 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy1.9111591172S. Abalmaz1.80911115113LSep 7 · 22:25K. Hrynenko2.201112113R. Gnoevoy1.6181090LSep 4 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.61117111113R. Gnoevoy2.2091131182LSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91121191172S. Abalmaz1.801051113113WSep 4 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy1.571111113T. Ponomarenko2.255680WSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113WSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.7341270R. Gnoevoy2.001114113WSep 2 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy1.6111118113T. Ponomarenko2.20741161
Upcoming Matches
V. Khamurda
Sep 8 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.73K. Hrynenko2.00—Sep 8 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.83D. Derevynskyi1.83—Sep 8 · 14:25V. Khamurda2.63S. Abalmaz1.44—Sep 8 · 15:55V. Khamurda1.83S. Skachenko1.83—Sep 8 · 16:55V. Khamurda1.73R. Gnoevoy2.00—Sep 8 · 17:55V. Khamurda1.73T. Ponomarenko2.00—Sep 8 · 19:55V. Khamurda1.83D. Derevynskyi1.83—
R. Gnoevoy
Sep 8 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy1.91D. Derevynskyi1.80—Sep 8 · 04:25R. Gnoevoy1.80S. Skachenko1.91—Sep 8 · 13:55R. Gnoevoy1.80S. Skachenko1.91—Sep 8 · 14:55R. Gnoevoy1.53T. Ponomarenko2.38—Sep 8 · 16:55R. Gnoevoy2.00V. Khamurda1.73—Sep 8 · 18:55R. Gnoevoy1.91D. Derevynskyi1.80—Sep 8 · 20:25R. Gnoevoy1.91S. Abalmaz1.80—
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