TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095047
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511211511––––
Oleksandr Naida
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:41 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Rehotun to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 45 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Rehotun at 56.2%
45 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Rehotun 74–51 Oleksandr Naida Oleksandr Naida has won 51 of their 125 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:41What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rehotun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-51 in 125
Rehotun
Wrong
gap of 23 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1386 vs Naida 1485
Naida
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 40% vs Naida 80%
Naida
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 20% vs Naida 40%
Naida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun +2 · Naida -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rehotun) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 1.73 / Naida 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rehotun)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13095047
Rehotun1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Naida2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 96 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back27% 33 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRehotun5wins
AwayNaida5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRehotun50%2 of 4
AwayNaida50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rehotun4Naida6n = 10Naida took 6 of 10
S2Rehotun4Naida6n = 10Naida took 6 of 10
S3Rehotun4Naida6n = 10Naida took 6 of 10
S4Rehotun5Naida3n = 8Rehotun took 5 of 8
S5Rehotun3Naida2n = 5Rehotun took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRehotunNaidaR − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.943.4−6.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 399 vs 483 / 93750.1%51.6%200 / 399 vs 483 / 937Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RehotunRehotun 1.73/Naida 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Rehotun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Naida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun—5250O. Naida—1111113
LMar 10 · 18:25D. Rehotun—71161162O. Naida—117119113
WMar 3 · 17:25D. Rehotun—121111133O. Naida—1494111
LFeb 25 · 16:35D. Rehotun—11661152O. Naida—811119113
LFeb 18 · 14:25D. Rehotun—1181741O. Naida—81119103
WFeb 4 · 01:25D. Rehotun—158115123O. Naida—1311911102
WJan 28 · 15:55D. Rehotun—411116113O. Naida—11981192
WJan 28 · 04:25D. Rehotun—511611113O. Naida—11711782
LJan 27 · 01:55D. Rehotun—4520O. Naida—1111113
WJan 6 · 20:05D. Rehotun—13413113O. Naida—11111141
D. Rehotun10
WSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi1.61111212123D. Rehotun2.2041014101LSep 1 · 21:05O. Melashenko1.571111123D. Rehotun2.2577100LAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540LAug 31 · 18:25D. Rehotun1.91115991O. Melashenko1.8091111113LAug 31 · 17:25D. Rehotun1.736780K. Hrynenko2.001111113LAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113
O. Naida10
WSep 8 · 23:05S. Pitsyk1.83911981O. Naida1.8311911113LSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113WSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123WSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830LSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111
Upcoming Matches
D. Rehotun
Sep 9 · 24:05D. Rehotun1.91S. Pitsyk1.80—Sep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.80K. Hrynenko1.91—Sep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63S. Khandetskyi1.44—Sep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.00V. Kobets1.73—Sep 9 · 15:55D. Rehotun2.75O. Melashenko1.40—Sep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun1.80K. Hrynenko1.91—Sep 9 · 17:55D. Rehotun2.63S. Khandetskyi1.44—Sep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.00S. Skachenko1.73—
O. Naida
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