TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095390
Played Sep 9Finished
Danylo Us
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1183115111210511
Oleksandr Naida
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:40 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Naida to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDanylo Us above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Naida at 60.5%
87 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Naida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Us 1399 vs Naida 1512
Naida
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Us 20% vs Naida 80%
Naida
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Us 50% vs Naida 70%
Naida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Us -4 · Naida +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Naida) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUs 2.38 / Naida 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Naida)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13095390
Us2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 56 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Naida1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 99 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it87% 53 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it72% 75 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricUsNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 483 vs 485 / 93941.8%51.7%202 / 483 vs 485 / 939Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NaidaUs 2.38/Naida 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Naida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Naida won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Us10
LSep 9 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.301112153D. Us3.40010130LSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.67102111113D. Us2.101219661LSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113WSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113WSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110
O. Naida10
WSep 9 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi2.50114911112O. Naida1.50511119133WSep 8 · 23:05S. Pitsyk1.83911981O. Naida1.8311911113WSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113LSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113WSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123WSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830
Upcoming Matches
D. Us
O. Naida
Nothing scheduled
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