TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095391
Played Sep 9Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11012101513––––
Danylo Us
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 11-0
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 61 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 79.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 17–2 Danylo Us Danylo Us has won 2 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-2 in 19
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 15 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1657 vs Us 1404
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 253 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 40% vs Us 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 60% vs Us 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko -1 · Us -3
Us
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Hrynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 1.30 / Us 3.40
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Hrynenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13095391
Hrynenko1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 57 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Us3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 56 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko9wins
AwayUs1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHrynenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko88.9%8 of 9
AwayUsn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko9Us1n = 10Hrynenko took 9 of 10
S2Hrynenko6Us4n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S3Hrynenko8Us2n = 10Hrynenko took 8 of 10
S4Hrynenko4Us2n = 6Hrynenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoUsH − UBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.629.3+8.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoUsBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 900 vs 202 / 48246.8%41.9%421 / 900 vs 202 / 482Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoHrynenko 1.30/Us 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 22:35K. Hrynenko—1111113D. Us—7840
WAug 4 · 16:25K. Hrynenko—511119113D. Us—11881182
LAug 3 · 13:25K. Hrynenko—118981D. Us—71111113
WJan 2 · 22:05K. Hrynenko—11113153D. Us—9611131
WDec 27 · 23:05K. Hrynenko—11311113D. Us—311841
WDec 6 · 02:05K. Hrynenko—1111113D. Us—9710
WNov 2 · 04:35K. Hrynenko—11811113D. Us—411931
WNov 1 · 24:55K. Hrynenko—11912113D. Us—9111071
WOct 26 · 05:05K. Hrynenko—1111113D. Us—7470
WOct 25 · 03:05K. Hrynenko—1211113D. Us—10950
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113LSep 8 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi2.50111014113K. Hrynenko1.503121291WSep 8 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.441111113S. Pitsyk2.636740WSep 8 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.001112310133S. Abalmaz1.737101112112LSep 8 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.731111113K. Hrynenko2.006980LSep 8 · 24:55K. Hrynenko2.0011113892S. Skachenko1.73981111113WSep 7 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.44831191K. Hrynenko2.6311119113WSep 7 · 22:25K. Hrynenko2.201112113R. Gnoevoy1.6181090WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121
D. Us10
LSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.67102111113D. Us2.101219661LSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113WSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113WSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113
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