TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095011
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10122119116116––
Danylo Us
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:41 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 21-19
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 96 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 56.6%
96 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 28–27 Danylo Us Danylo Us has won 27 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:41What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khandetskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-27 in 55
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1505 vs Us 1445
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Us 60%
Us
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Us 60%
Us
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi +1 · Us -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Khandetskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 1.67 / Us 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13095011
Khandetskyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 62 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it71% 46 of 65
Us2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 56 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi7wins
AwayUs3wins
Khandetskyi leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi80%4 of 5
AwayUs40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi5Us5n = 10split evenly
S2Khandetskyi6Us4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S3Khandetskyi6Us4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S4Khandetskyi6Us2n = 8Khandetskyi took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiUsK − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.935.6+4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiUsBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 793 vs 202 / 48049.9%42.1%396 / 793 vs 202 / 480Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiKhandetskyi 1.67/Us 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi—8890D. Us—1111113
WAug 12 · 24:05S. Khandetskyi—1411123D. Us—129100
LAug 4 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi—711991D. Us—11511113
WAug 3 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi—11711123D. Us—7115101
WJun 18 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi—101411113D. Us—1212441
LJun 17 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi—11810111D. Us—91112133
WJun 10 · 16:55S. Khandetskyi—15713113D. Us—13111151
WJun 10 · 24:05S. Khandetskyi—61111123D. Us—1176101
WJun 8 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi—11117123D. Us—3711101
WJun 3 · 01:35S. Khandetskyi—91211153D. Us—11105131
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113LSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.806171251H. Kulishov1.91111514113LSep 7 · 16:55V. Kobets1.8311119113S. Khandetskyi1.83441181LSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123
D. Us10
LSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113WSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113WSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771WSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141
Upcoming Matches
S. Khandetskyi
Sep 9 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi2.50O. Naida1.50—Sep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.83S. Pitsyk1.83—Sep 9 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi1.44D. Rehotun2.63—Sep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.38S. Skachenko1.53—Sep 9 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi2.50K. Hrynenko1.50—Sep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00V. Kobets1.73—Sep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.44D. Rehotun2.63—Sep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.73O. Melashenko2.00—
D. Us
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