TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13096153
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1154119111191113
Oleksandr Naida
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:09 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Naida to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 95 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Oleksandr Naida at 66.3%
95 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Naida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1532 vs Naida 1500
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Naida 80%
Naida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Naida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi +3 · Naida +2
Khandetskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Naida) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 2.50 / Naida 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Naida)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13096153
Khandetskyi2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 98 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Naida1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 99 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it87% 53 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it72% 75 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 795 vs 484 / 93850.1%51.6%398 / 795 vs 484 / 938Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NaidaKhandetskyi 2.50/Naida 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Naida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Naida won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113WSep 8 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi2.50111014113K. Hrynenko1.503121291WSep 8 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.67102111113D. Us2.101219661WSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113LSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.806171251H. Kulishov1.91111514113LSep 7 · 16:55V. Kobets1.8311119113S. Khandetskyi1.83441181LSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123
O. Naida10
WSep 9 · 02:35D. Us2.3811351252O. Naida1.538111110113WSep 8 · 23:05S. Pitsyk1.83911981O. Naida1.8311911113WSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113LSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113WSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123WSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830
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