TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081940
Played Sep 5Finished
Filip Mlynarski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118116––––
Dawid Jadam
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Dawid Jadam below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 56.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 2–2 Dawid Jadam Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jadam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1718 vs Jadam 1681
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 80% vs Jadam 60%
Mlynarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 60% vs Jadam 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski +3 · Jadam +1
Mlynarski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mlynarski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.83 / Jadam 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadam)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13081940
Mlynarski1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jadam1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMlynarski2wins
AwayJadam2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski2Jadam2n = 4split evenly
S2Mlynarski2Jadam2n = 4split evenly
S3Mlynarski2Jadam2n = 4split evenly
S4Mlynarski4Jadam0n = 4Mlynarski took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMlynarskiJadamM − JBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match45.241.5+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiJadamBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 280 vs 148 / 30256.8%49%159 / 280 vs 148 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamMlynarski 1.83/Jadam 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 16 · 22:35F. Mlynarski—116121282D. Jadam—9111410113
WAug 16 · 18:50F. Mlynarski—13911113D. Jadam—1111951
LAug 15 · 23:45F. Mlynarski—91191172D. Jadam—113119113
WAug 15 · 20:05F. Mlynarski—81111113D. Jadam—117391
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100
D. Jadam10
WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113LSep 5 · 22:55D. Jadam1.7314630F. Mlynarski2.001611113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.