Jaroslav Sindler vs Patrik Sturma 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13046391

Played Aug 30Finished

Jaroslav Sindler

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

9111311911711––

Patrik Sturma

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jaroslav Sindler to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Patrik Sturma below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 82 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%

82 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Sindler 48–48 Patrik Sturma Dead even across their 96 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 07:46

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Sturma

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

48-48 in 96

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sindler 1354 vs Sturma 1342

Sindler

Wrong

both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sindler 80% vs Sturma 60%

Sindler

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sindler 80% vs Sturma 50%

Sindler

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sindler +4 · Sturma -1

Sindler

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sindler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSindler 1.83 / Sturma 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Sindler)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13046391

Sindler1.83

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Sturma1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSindler4wins

AwaySturma6wins

7 of 10 to a deciderSturma leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSindler16.7%1 of 6

AwaySturma25%1 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sindler6Sturma4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10

S2Sindler4Sturma6n = 10Sturma took 6 of 10

S3Sindler5Sturma5n = 10split evenly

S4Sindler3Sturma6n = 9Sturma took 6 of 9

S5Sindler3Sturma4n = 7Sturma took 4 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSindlerSturmaSindler − SturmaBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.643.5+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSindlerSturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 728 vs 397 / 81851.1%48.5%372 / 728 vs 397 / 818Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sindler

Sindler 1.83/Sturma 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Sindler · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Sturma won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 14 · 13:14J. Sindler—121113113P. Sturma—1441191

LAug 14 · 09:45J. Sindler—11813892P. Sturma—8111111113

LAug 13 · 11:40J. Sindler—11512982P. Sturma—4111011113

LAug 11 · 12:40J. Sindler—1187101P. Sturma—61111123

WAug 11 · 10:15J. Sindler—119511113P. Sturma—91111652

LAug 11 · 09:15J. Sindler—11911662P. Sturma—411911113

WAug 11 · 07:45J. Sindler—6111111113P. Sturma—11691392

LAug 7 · 07:45J. Sindler—11119682P. Sturma—641111113

LAug 3 · 09:30J. Sindler—71070P. Sturma—1112113

WAug 3 · 06:15J. Sindler—614811113P. Sturma—111211292

J. Sindler10

LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113 WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172 WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102 LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571 LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113 WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113 WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123

P. Sturma10

LSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113 WSep 2 · 11:40P. Sturma2.10511811113F. Mandrysz1.6711511692 WSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122 WSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962 LSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113 WSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851 WSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113 WSep 1 · 14:15L. Jr1.53731161P. Sturma2.3811115113 LAug 30 · 17:10J. Sindler1.531111113P. Sturma2.389930 LAug 30 · 15:10R. Jancak1.6111511113P. Sturma2.20511391

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