TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475713
Played Aug 24Finished
Milan Smrcek
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114811118311611
Petr Bruzek
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeMilan Smrcek to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
114811118311611
H2H Milan Smrcek 8–3 Petr Bruzek Petr Bruzek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Smrcek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Smrcek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Smrcek 1444 vs Bruzek 1373
Smrcek
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smrcek 0% vs Bruzek 20%
Bruzek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smrcek 40% vs Bruzek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Smrcek -5 · Bruzek -2
Smrcek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Smrcek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smrcek form (0%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmrcek 1.28 / Bruzek 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Smrcek)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12475713
Smrcek1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 49 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Bruzek3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 29 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmrcek8wins
AwayBruzek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSmrcek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmrcek100%7 of 7
AwayBruzek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smrcek7Bruzek3n = 10Smrcek took 7 of 10
S2Smrcek7Bruzek3n = 10Smrcek took 7 of 10
S3Smrcek8Bruzek2n = 10Smrcek took 8 of 10
S4Smrcek4Bruzek1n = 5Smrcek took 4 of 5
S5Smrcek2Bruzek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmrcekBruzekS − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.729.4+8.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmrcekBruzekBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 506 vs 178 / 38248.8%46.6%247 / 506 vs 178 / 382Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmrcekSmrcek 1.28/Bruzek 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.1%
Smrcek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bruzek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 4 · 24:00M. Smrcek—1111113P. Bruzek—3190
WMar 1 · 23:30M. Smrcek—1211113P. Bruzek—10590
WFeb 24 · 01:00M. Smrcek—11911113P. Bruzek—711561
WFeb 1 · 23:00M. Smrcek—451111113P. Bruzek—11113432
WDec 11 · 23:00M. Smrcek—1111113P. Bruzek—4450
LDec 8 · 04:30M. Smrcek—66111132P. Bruzek—111196113
LDec 8 · 24:00M. Smrcek—1011101152P. Bruzek—125126113
WNov 27 · 01:30M. Smrcek—1111113P. Bruzek—5980
WOct 21 · 24:00M. Smrcek—1111113P. Bruzek—7590
WJul 20 · 06:00M. Smrcek—111164113P. Bruzek—97111182
M. Smrcek10
WAug 26 · 21:00K. Darin1.44311771M. Smrcek2.6311411113LAug 26 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4011611113M. Smrcek2.75711841LAug 26 · 19:30M. Smrcek1.80136991T. Kolenic1.91111111113LAug 26 · 18:30K. Darin1.5011113113M. Smrcek2.50791191LAug 26 · 09:06K. Darin1.80312811113M. Smrcek1.85111011362WAug 26 · 08:30J. Jnr1.9151151392M. Smrcek1.801141111113LAug 26 · 07:30M. Smrcek1.6711711452J. Steffan2.10311611113LAug 26 · 06:30K. Darin1.5361111113M. Smrcek2.38114671LAug 24 · 02:30M. Smrcek1.44119371R. Bartunek2.6381111113LAug 24 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511119143M. Smrcek1.339511121
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122
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