TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13023230
Played Aug 26Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311114711711––
Milan Smrcek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Milan Smrcek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 65 set 4, 7-11
65 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 22–15 Milan Smrcek Milan Smrcek has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smrcek form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.44 / Smrcek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Darin)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13023230
Darin1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 155 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it95% 78 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it75% 107 of 142
Smrcek2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 29 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin6wins
AwaySmrcek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin60%3 of 5
AwaySmrcek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Smrcek5n = 10split evenly
S2Darin6Smrcek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Darin5Smrcek5n = 10split evenly
S4Darin6Smrcek2n = 8Darin took 6 of 8
S5Darin1Smrcek2n = 3Smrcek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinSmrcekD − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.634.0+4.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinSmrcekBasisWin rate · lifetime764 / 1547 vs 246 / 51249.4%48.1%764 / 1547 vs 246 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.44/Smrcek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Smrcek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 18:30K. Darin—11113113M. Smrcek—791191
WAug 26 · 09:06K. Darin—312811113M. Smrcek—111011362
WAug 26 · 06:30K. Darin—61111113M. Smrcek—114671
WMay 25 · 02:30K. Darin—1111113M. Smrcek—5820
LApr 29 · 23:30K. Darin—7980M. Smrcek—1111113
WApr 24 · 09:30K. Darin—11611123M. Smrcek—3119101
LApr 24 · 07:30K. Darin—6118111M. Smrcek—11211133
LApr 5 · 02:30K. Darin—117119122M. Smrcek—111811143
WMar 17 · 23:30K. Darin—91111113M. Smrcek—117141
LMar 15 · 03:00K. Darin—12651172M. Smrcek—1011116113
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123
M. Smrcek10
LAug 26 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4011611113M. Smrcek2.75711841LAug 26 · 19:30M. Smrcek1.80136991T. Kolenic1.91111111113LAug 26 · 18:30K. Darin1.5011113113M. Smrcek2.50791191LAug 26 · 09:06K. Darin1.80312811113M. Smrcek1.85111011362WAug 26 · 08:30J. Jnr1.9151151392M. Smrcek1.801141111113LAug 26 · 07:30M. Smrcek1.6711711452J. Steffan2.10311611113LAug 26 · 06:30K. Darin1.5361111113M. Smrcek2.38114671LAug 24 · 02:30M. Smrcek1.44119371R. Bartunek2.6381111113LAug 24 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511119143M. Smrcek1.339511121LAug 24 · 24:00M. Smrcek1.2811811362P. Bruzek3.50411811113
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