TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12476255
Played Aug 24Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191159111412––
Milan Smrcek
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 74.9% is still 74.9%
Graded at full timeMilan Smrcek to win
74.9%
74.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1191159111412––
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 1–8 Milan Smrcek Oleg Vitrovyj has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Smrcek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Smrcek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1420 vs Smrcek 1444
Smrcek
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 40% vs Smrcek 0%
Vitrovyj
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 50% vs Smrcek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj +1 · Smrcek -5
Smrcek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Smrcek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smrcek form (0%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 3.25 / Smrcek 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Smrcek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12476255
Vitrovyj3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 43 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Smrcek1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 49 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVitrovyj1wins
AwaySmrcek8wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSmrcek leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyj33.3%1 of 3
AwaySmrcek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj3Smrcek6n = 9Smrcek took 6 of 9
S2Vitrovyj1Smrcek8n = 9Smrcek took 8 of 9
S3Vitrovyj3Smrcek6n = 9Smrcek took 6 of 9
S4Vitrovyj1Smrcek3n = 4Smrcek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away556%
These 9 meetings
MetricVitrovyjSmrcekV − SBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match25.937.6−11.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjSmrcekBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 664 vs 247 / 50652.9%48.8%351 / 664 vs 247 / 506Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmrcekVitrovyj 3.25/Smrcek 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.9%
Smrcek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 26 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj—5670M. Smrcek—1111113
LJul 26 · 24:30O. Vitrovyj—1110117122M. Smrcek—812811143
LMar 4 · 04:30O. Vitrovyj—411521M. Smrcek—11611113
LMar 4 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—11111782M. Smrcek—511811113
LMar 2 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj—6450M. Smrcek—1111113
LSep 4 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj—5870M. Smrcek—1111113
WSep 4 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj—11611113M. Smrcek—611861
LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj—5210M. Smrcek—1111113
LSep 1 · 24:30O. Vitrovyj—13810M. Smrcek—1511113
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj1.571111113O. Kucirek2.255990
M. Smrcek10
WAug 26 · 21:00K. Darin1.44311771M. Smrcek2.6311411113LAug 26 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4011611113M. Smrcek2.75711841LAug 26 · 19:30M. Smrcek1.80136991T. Kolenic1.91111111113LAug 26 · 18:30K. Darin1.5011113113M. Smrcek2.50791191LAug 26 · 09:06K. Darin1.80312811113M. Smrcek1.85111011362WAug 26 · 08:30J. Jnr1.9151151392M. Smrcek1.801141111113LAug 26 · 07:30M. Smrcek1.6711711452J. Steffan2.10311611113LAug 26 · 06:30K. Darin1.5361111113M. Smrcek2.38114671LAug 24 · 02:30M. Smrcek1.44119371R. Bartunek2.6381111113LAug 24 · 24:00M. Smrcek1.2811811362P. Bruzek3.50411811113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.