TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472158
Played Aug 22Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171210––––
Serhii Bului
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 81.9% is still 81.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Bului to win
81.9%
81.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Bului at 81.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kolesnik 0–7 Serhii Bului Petr Kolesnik has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Bului
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Bului
Wrong
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnik 1507 vs Bului 1661
Bului
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnik 40% vs Bului 0%
Kolesnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnik 40% vs Bului 10%
Kolesnik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnik -2 · Bului -5
Bului
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Bului) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (0%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 3.40 / Bului 1.30
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Bului)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472158
Kolesnik3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 13 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Bului1.30
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite84% won 47 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKolesnik0wins
AwayBului7wins
1 of 7 to a deciderBului leads 7–0, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBului100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnik1Bului6n = 7Bului took 6 of 7
S2Kolesnik2Bului5n = 7Bului took 5 of 7
S3Kolesnik2Bului5n = 7Bului took 5 of 7
S4Kolesnik1Bului4n = 5Bului took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKolesnikBuluiK − BBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match33.339.9−6.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 316 vs 92 / 19555.4%47.2%175 / 316 vs 92 / 195Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiKolesnik 3.40/Bului 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.3%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 5 · 08:00P. Kolesnik—9750S. Bului—1111113
LJul 4 · 13:30P. Kolesnik—1111681S. Bului—13511113
LMay 17 · 06:30P. Kolesnik—1112971S. Bului—61411113
LMay 16 · 14:00P. Kolesnik—551181S. Bului—11115113
LApr 5 · 06:30P. Kolesnik—9870S. Bului—1111113
LApr 4 · 14:00P. Kolesnik—1012111172S. Bului—121477113
LJan 9 · 10:30P. Kolesnik—712861S. Bului—111011103
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.5057111182P. Kolesnik1.28111158113WSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113
S. Bului10
WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100LAug 21 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.2881111113S. Bului3.50113691LAug 16 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko1.3311114113S. Bului3.25741161LAug 16 · 07:30S. Bului3.00613101162V. Komar1.361111126113
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