TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12466941
Played Aug 21Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811113116119––
Serhii Bului
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 88.9% is still 88.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
88.9%
88.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 88.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 11–2 Serhii Bului Serhii Bului has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kryshtal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-2 in 13
Kryshtal
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1852 vs Bului 1680
Kryshtal
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 20% vs Bului 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 40% vs Bului 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal -3 · Bului -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryshtal form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.28 / Bului 3.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Kryshtal)+15.8pp
Setka Cup · #12466941
Kryshtal1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 149 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it94% 85 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it76% 117 of 155
Bului3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog14% won 10 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal8wins
AwayBului2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal80%8 of 10
AwayBuluin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal10Bului0n = 10Kryshtal took 10 of 10
S2Kryshtal7Bului3n = 10Kryshtal took 7 of 10
S3Kryshtal8Bului2n = 10Kryshtal took 8 of 10
S4Kryshtal2Bului3n = 5Bului took 3 of 5
S5Kryshtal1Bului2n = 3Bului took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalBuluiK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match38.531.4+7.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 688 vs 92 / 19142.7%48.2%294 / 688 vs 92 / 191Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.28/Bului 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.9%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Bului—911761
LAug 9 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—11813882S. Bului—9111111113
WAug 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal—111176113S. Bului—38111122
WJul 18 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—111011113S. Bului—812851
WJun 28 · 09:00D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Bului—9690
LJun 27 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—11117652S. Bului—971111113
WJun 13 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Bului—7940
WJun 12 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Bului—8570
WJun 7 · 16:00D. Kryshtal—1113113S. Bului—61190
WJun 6 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Bului—6960
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113WAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460
S. Bului10
WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100LAug 16 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko1.3311114113S. Bului3.25741161LAug 16 · 07:30S. Bului3.00613101162V. Komar1.361111126113
Upcoming Matches
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S. Bului
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