TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467115
Played Aug 21Finished
Serhii Bului
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6113111191210711
Roman Horokh
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 89.3% is still 89.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
89.3%
89.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Bului above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 89.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Bului 1–5 Roman Horokh Serhii Bului has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Horokh
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bului 1665 vs Horokh 1965
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 300 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bului 0% vs Horokh 60%
Horokh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bului 20% vs Horokh 60%
Horokh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bului -5 · Horokh -1
Bului
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBului 4.33 / Horokh 1.20
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Horokh)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467115
Bului4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog14% won 10 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Horokh1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 292 of 459
Up 2–0, closes it96% 156 of 163
Up 1–0, closes it80% 224 of 281
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBului1wins
AwayHorokh5wins
Horokh leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuluin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHorokh100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bului1Horokh5n = 6Horokh took 5 of 6
S2Bului0Horokh6n = 6Horokh took 6 of 6
S3Bului1Horokh5n = 6Horokh took 5 of 6
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away583%
These 6 meetings
MetricBuluiHorokhB − HBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match25.034.5−9.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuluiHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 194 vs 707 / 126147.4%56.1%92 / 194 vs 707 / 1261Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhBului 4.33/Horokh 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.3%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJun 7 · 14:30S. Bului—7940R. Horokh—1111113
LMay 31 · 08:00S. Bului—8760R. Horokh—1111113
LJan 17 · 11:04S. Bului—8570R. Horokh—1111103
WJan 17 · 07:00S. Bului—11812123R. Horokh—81110101
LJan 11 · 09:00S. Bului—54120R. Horokh—1111143
LJan 10 · 13:00S. Bului—81070R. Horokh—1112113
S. Bului10
WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100LAug 21 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.2881111113S. Bului3.50113691LAug 16 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko1.3311114113S. Bului3.25741161LAug 16 · 07:30S. Bului3.00613101162V. Komar1.361111126113
R. Horokh10
WSep 8 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.0011961162R. Horokh1.14911118113WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113WAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113
Upcoming Matches
S. Bului
Nothing scheduled
R. Horokh
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