TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440615
Played Aug 16Finished
Serhii Bului
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61113111012116611
Vadim Komar
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeVadim Komar to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Bului above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Vadim Komar at 84.6%
97 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Bului 3–14 Vadim Komar Serhii Bului has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Komar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-14 in 17
Komar
Correct
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bului 1680 vs Komar 1864
Komar
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bului 40% vs Komar 60%
Komar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bului 30% vs Komar 60%
Komar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bului -2 · Komar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Komar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komar form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBului 3.00 / Komar 1.36
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Komar)+15.8pp
Setka Cup · #12440615
Bului3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog14% won 10 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Komar1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 32 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBului1wins
AwayKomar9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKomar leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuluin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKomar100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bului2Komar8n = 10Komar took 8 of 10
S2Bului2Komar8n = 10Komar took 8 of 10
S3Bului3Komar7n = 10Komar took 7 of 10
S4Bului3Komar2n = 5Bului took 3 of 5
S5Bului0Komar3n = 3Komar took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuluiKomarB − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.239.7−8.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuluiKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 191 vs 247 / 63748.2%38.8%92 / 191 vs 247 / 637Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomarBului 3.00/Komar 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Komar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Komar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 07:30S. Bului—613101162V. Komar—1111126113
LAug 9 · 09:59S. Bului—711951V. Komar—11811113
LAug 9 · 09:00S. Bului—86130V. Komar—1111153
WAug 8 · 16:00S. Bului—11511113V. Komar—811971
LJun 28 · 10:33S. Bului—11711372V. Komar—911811113
LJun 28 · 08:00S. Bului—85111162V. Komar—111198113
LJun 27 · 12:30S. Bului—6760V. Komar—1111113
LJun 13 · 08:00S. Bului—9970V. Komar—1111113
LJun 12 · 14:00S. Bului—71060V. Komar—1112113
LJun 6 · 09:58S. Bului—8770V. Komar—1111113
S. Bului10
WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100LAug 21 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.2881111113S. Bului3.50113691LAug 16 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko1.3311114113S. Bului3.25741161
V. Komar10
WSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102LAug 29 · 08:00V. Komar8.506540S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 29 · 06:30V. Komar2.389611141R. Horokh1.5311115163LAug 29 · 05:00V. Komar2.25581121D. Kryshtal1.5711118113WAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal1.678760V. Komar2.081111113LAug 28 · 16:30V. Komar2.38611101192R. Horokh1.53118126113LAug 28 · 15:30V. Komar2.251151011112D. Kryshtal1.57911125133WAug 28 · 14:00V. Komar2.00111129113S. Balabei1.73119101142LAug 28 · 13:00V. Komar8.509760S. Ponomarenko1.051111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Bului
Nothing scheduled
V. Komar
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