TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472037
Played Aug 22Finished
Myhailo Levytskii
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119311811311
Serhii Bului
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Bului to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 85 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Serhii Bului at 57.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 4–14 Serhii Bului Myhailo Levytskii has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bului
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-14 in 18
Bului
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskii 1690 vs Bului 1715
Bului
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskii 100% vs Bului 0%
Levytskii
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskii 70% vs Bului 10%
Levytskii
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskii +5 · Bului -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bului) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 2.38 / Bului 1.53
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Bului)-1.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12472037
Levytskii2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 11 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Bului1.53
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite84% won 51 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii1wins
AwayBului9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii0%0 of 3
AwayBului85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii3Bului7n = 10Bului took 7 of 10
S2Levytskii5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S3Levytskii3Bului7n = 10Bului took 7 of 10
S4Levytskii3Bului5n = 8Bului took 5 of 8
S5Levytskii0Bului4n = 4Bului took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiBuluiL − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.341.6−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 319 vs 96 / 20052.7%48%168 / 319 vs 96 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiLevytskii 2.38/Bului 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 10:39M. Levytskii—101131162S. Bului—127117113
LAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii—11113832S. Bului—791111113
LMay 17 · 08:30M. Levytskii—11961142S. Bului—711119113
WMar 29 · 09:00M. Levytskii—91111133S. Bului—1176111
LMar 29 · 06:30M. Levytskii—8650S. Bului—1111113
LMar 28 · 15:30M. Levytskii—11116652S. Bului—861111113
LMar 15 · 06:30M. Levytskii—5111151S. Bului—11134113
LMar 14 · 17:00M. Levytskii—71180S. Bului—1113103
LMar 7 · 07:30M. Levytskii—311871S. Bului—11611113
LMar 6 · 16:30M. Levytskii—9101161S. Bului—11129113
M. Levytskii10
LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi4.3311101551M. Levytskii1.2091217113WAug 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44116911123O. Torianyk2.63211113102WAug 26 · 13:30M. Denysenko2.2511118882M. Levytskii1.57881111113LAug 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.44911119122P. Kolesnik2.63119711143LAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162
S. Bului10
WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100LAug 21 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.2881111113S. Bului3.50113691LAug 16 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko1.3311114113S. Bului3.25741161LAug 16 · 07:30S. Bului3.00613101162V. Komar1.361111126113
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