TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12466913
Played Aug 21Finished
Igor Shyndel
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11712101210––––
Serhii Bului
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 90.8% is still 90.8%
Graded at full timeIgor Shyndel to win
90.8%
90.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Shyndel above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 62 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Igor Shyndel at 90.8%
62 points played in total.
H2H Igor Shyndel 9–2 Serhii Bului Serhii Bului has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Shyndel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Shyndel
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shyndel 1969 vs Bului 1673
Shyndel
Correct
both rated, 296 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shyndel 60% vs Bului 0%
Shyndel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shyndel 60% vs Bului 30%
Shyndel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shyndel -1 · Bului -5
Bului
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Shyndel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (0%) is below what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShyndel 1.25 / Bului 3.75
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Shyndel)+15.8pp
Setka Cup · #12466913
Shyndel1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Bului3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog14% won 10 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShyndel8wins
AwayBului2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShyndel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShyndel77.8%7 of 9
AwayBuluin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shyndel9Bului1n = 10Shyndel took 9 of 10
S2Shyndel6Bului4n = 10Shyndel took 6 of 10
S3Shyndel9Bului1n = 10Shyndel took 9 of 10
S4Shyndel3Bului3n = 6split evenly
S5Shyndel1Bului2n = 3Bului took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShyndelBuluiS − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.231.1+8.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShyndelBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 290 vs 92 / 19246.9%47.9%136 / 290 vs 92 / 192Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.935.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShyndelShyndel 1.25/Bului 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.8%
Shyndel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shyndel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 05:30I. Shyndel—1711113S. Bului—15680
WAug 9 · 07:30I. Shyndel—11611113S. Bului—511971
WAug 8 · 12:00I. Shyndel—11711113S. Bului—711891
WAug 1 · 12:00I. Shyndel—111197103S. Bului—84111122
WJul 18 · 07:30I. Shyndel—1111113S. Bului—8830
WJun 13 · 06:30I. Shyndel—1211113S. Bului—10670
WJun 7 · 12:00I. Shyndel—51111113S. Bului—119611
LJun 6 · 06:30I. Shyndel—121011772S. Bului—1012811113
WJan 11 · 07:30I. Shyndel—1111113S. Bului—8520
LJan 10 · 18:35I. Shyndel—11611672S. Bului—511511113
I. Shyndel10
LAug 23 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.366111181V. Komar3.0011713113LAug 23 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8311118113I. Shyndel1.83631181WAug 23 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.91117561I. Shyndel1.8091111113LAug 23 · 05:30R. Horokh1.80101311113I. Shyndel1.911211531LAug 22 · 17:04I. Shyndel1.91128921D. Kryshtal1.80101111113WAug 22 · 16:00S. Balabei2.10711111172I. Shyndel1.67116813113LAug 22 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.00115119113I. Shyndel1.7321131172LAug 22 · 13:00V. Komar3.001113113I. Shyndel1.3651160WAug 22 · 12:00D. Kryshtal1.6791112782I. Shyndel2.101181011113LAug 21 · 17:33R. Horokh1.8311511113I. Shyndel1.83911421
S. Bului10
WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.2881111113S. Bului3.50113691LAug 16 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko1.3311114113S. Bului3.25741161LAug 16 · 07:30S. Bului3.00613101162V. Komar1.361111126113
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