TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472068
Played Aug 22Finished
Serhii Balabei
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111161181113711
Igor Shyndel
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeIgor Shyndel to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Balabei above · Igor Shyndel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 3-9
Point 90 set 5, 3-9 — our read held Igor Shyndel at 59.8%
90 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Serhii Balabei 10–26 Igor Shyndel Serhii Balabei has won 10 of their 36 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:42What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Shyndel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-26 in 36
Shyndel
Correct
gap of 16 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Balabei 1982 vs Shyndel 1955
Balabei
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balabei 20% vs Shyndel 60%
Shyndel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balabei 40% vs Shyndel 70%
Shyndel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Balabei -4 · Shyndel -1
Balabei
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Shyndel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Balabei form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalabei 2.10 / Shyndel 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Shyndel)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472068
Balabei2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 66 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Shyndel1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 34 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it78% 25 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalabei4wins
AwayShyndel6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShyndel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalabei60%3 of 5
AwayShyndel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balabei5Shyndel5n = 10split evenly
S2Balabei5Shyndel5n = 10split evenly
S3Balabei5Shyndel5n = 10split evenly
S4Balabei3Shyndel3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalabeiShyndelB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.235.1−1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalabeiShyndelBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 989 vs 140 / 29750%47.1%494 / 989 vs 140 / 297Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.534.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShyndelBalabei 2.10/Shyndel 1.67
Miss
What we said
59.8%
Shyndel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shyndel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 16:00S. Balabei—119321I. Shyndel—51111113
WJul 25 · 15:00S. Balabei—1112183I. Shyndel—910160
LJun 21 · 16:30S. Balabei—131991I. Shyndel—111111113
LJun 14 · 17:13S. Balabei—6370I. Shyndel—1111113
LJun 14 · 15:00S. Balabei—8930I. Shyndel—1111113
WMay 17 · 15:00S. Balabei—81111113I. Shyndel—118951
WFeb 8 · 13:30S. Balabei—1111113I. Shyndel—3540
WJan 2 · 17:30S. Balabei—11511103I. Shyndel—611851
LNov 23 · 14:30S. Balabei—61171152I. Shyndel—11511493
LNov 21 · 17:30S. Balabei—715111042I. Shyndel—1113612113
S. Balabei10
WAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130LAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112WAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113LAug 29 · 10:35S. Ponomarenko1.071111113S. Balabei7.506690WAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102WAug 29 · 08:30S. Balabei2.0011611113R. Horokh1.73611771LAug 29 · 07:00S. Balabei7.0011111872S. Ponomarenko1.08116811113WAug 29 · 06:00S. Balabei1.5011113123D. Kryshtal2.506711101
I. Shyndel10
LAug 23 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.366111181V. Komar3.0011713113LAug 23 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8311118113I. Shyndel1.83631181WAug 23 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.91117561I. Shyndel1.8091111113LAug 23 · 05:30R. Horokh1.80101311113I. Shyndel1.911211531LAug 22 · 17:04I. Shyndel1.91128921D. Kryshtal1.80101111113LAug 22 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.00115119113I. Shyndel1.7321131172LAug 22 · 13:00V. Komar3.001113113I. Shyndel1.3651160WAug 22 · 12:00D. Kryshtal1.6791112782I. Shyndel2.101181011113LAug 21 · 17:33R. Horokh1.8311511113I. Shyndel1.83911421WAug 21 · 16:30I. Shyndel1.7311611113S. Balabei2.00611471
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.