TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467023
Played Aug 21Finished
Igor Shyndel
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611114117––
Serhii Balabei
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeIgor Shyndel to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Shyndel above · Serhii Balabei below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 67 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Igor Shyndel at 57.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Igor Shyndel 26–10 Serhii Balabei Serhii Balabei has won 10 of their 36 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shyndel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-10 in 36
Shyndel
Correct
gap of 16 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shyndel 1982 vs Balabei 2038
Balabei
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shyndel 80% vs Balabei 60%
Shyndel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shyndel 70% vs Balabei 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shyndel +2 · Balabei +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Shyndel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyndel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShyndel 1.73 / Balabei 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Shyndel)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467023
Shyndel1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Balabei2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 66 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShyndel6wins
AwayBalabei4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShyndel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShyndel80%4 of 5
AwayBalabei60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shyndel5Balabei5n = 10split evenly
S2Shyndel5Balabei5n = 10split evenly
S3Shyndel5Balabei5n = 10split evenly
S4Shyndel3Balabei3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShyndelBalabeiS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.133.2+1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShyndelBalabeiBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 292 vs 493 / 98447.3%50.1%138 / 292 vs 493 / 984Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShyndelShyndel 1.73/Balabei 2.00
Hit
What we said
57.7%
Shyndel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shyndel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 16:00I. Shyndel—51111113S. Balabei—119321
LJul 25 · 15:00I. Shyndel—910160S. Balabei—1112183
WJun 21 · 16:30I. Shyndel—111111113S. Balabei—131991
WJun 14 · 17:13I. Shyndel—1111113S. Balabei—6370
WJun 14 · 15:00I. Shyndel—1111113S. Balabei—8930
LMay 17 · 15:00I. Shyndel—118951S. Balabei—81111113
LFeb 8 · 13:30I. Shyndel—3540S. Balabei—1111113
LJan 2 · 17:30I. Shyndel—611851S. Balabei—11511103
WNov 23 · 14:30I. Shyndel—11511493S. Balabei—61171152
WNov 21 · 17:30I. Shyndel—1113612113S. Balabei—715111042
I. Shyndel10
LAug 23 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.366111181V. Komar3.0011713113LAug 23 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8311118113I. Shyndel1.83631181WAug 23 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.91117561I. Shyndel1.8091111113LAug 23 · 05:30R. Horokh1.80101311113I. Shyndel1.911211531LAug 22 · 17:04I. Shyndel1.91128921D. Kryshtal1.80101111113WAug 22 · 16:00S. Balabei2.10711111172I. Shyndel1.67116813113LAug 22 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.00115119113I. Shyndel1.7321131172LAug 22 · 13:00V. Komar3.001113113I. Shyndel1.3651160WAug 22 · 12:00D. Kryshtal1.6791112782I. Shyndel2.101181011113LAug 21 · 17:33R. Horokh1.8311511113I. Shyndel1.83911421
S. Balabei10
WAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130LAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112WAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113LAug 29 · 10:35S. Ponomarenko1.071111113S. Balabei7.506690WAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102WAug 29 · 08:30S. Balabei2.0011611113R. Horokh1.73611771LAug 29 · 07:00S. Balabei7.0011111872S. Ponomarenko1.08116811113LAug 22 · 16:00S. Balabei2.10711111172I. Shyndel1.67116813113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.