TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472254
Played Aug 22Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
112511113911117
Igor Shyndel
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeIgor Shyndel to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Igor Shyndel below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 81 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Igor Shyndel at 61.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 12–11 Igor Shyndel Igor Shyndel has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shyndel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1843 vs Shyndel 1969
Shyndel
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 20% vs Shyndel 60%
Shyndel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 30% vs Shyndel 70%
Shyndel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko -1 · Shyndel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Shyndel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kushnirenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.00 / Shyndel 1.73
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Shyndel)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472254
Kushnirenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 111 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back18% 39 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 118
Shyndel1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 34 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it78% 25 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko6wins
AwayShyndel4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKushnirenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko75%3 of 4
AwayShyndel50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko4Shyndel6n = 10Shyndel took 6 of 10
S2Kushnirenko8Shyndel2n = 10Kushnirenko took 8 of 10
S3Kushnirenko5Shyndel5n = 10split evenly
S4Kushnirenko6Shyndel2n = 8Kushnirenko took 6 of 8
S5Kushnirenko1Shyndel2n = 3Shyndel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoShyndelK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.8+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoShyndelBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 762 vs 140 / 29641.1%47.3%313 / 762 vs 140 / 296Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.634.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShyndelKushnirenko 2.00/Shyndel 1.73
Miss
What we said
61.7%
Shyndel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko—61411123I. Shyndel—11127101
WAug 15 · 15:00S. Kushnirenko—711411113I. Shyndel—11611752
LAug 9 · 10:28S. Kushnirenko—7121241I. Shyndel—111014113
WAug 9 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—1112113I. Shyndel—51060
LAug 1 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko—71181172I. Shyndel—118115113
WJul 25 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko—41111113I. Shyndel—118561
WJul 18 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—1111113I. Shyndel—5890
LJul 17 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—1112101182I. Shyndel—914124113
LJul 11 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—9815101I. Shyndel—111113123
WJun 21 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko—12119113I. Shyndel—1071181
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko2.7511115113R. Horokh1.40771161WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113LAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113
I. Shyndel10
LAug 23 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.366111181V. Komar3.0011713113LAug 23 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8311118113I. Shyndel1.83631181WAug 23 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.91117561I. Shyndel1.8091111113LAug 23 · 05:30R. Horokh1.80101311113I. Shyndel1.911211531LAug 22 · 17:04I. Shyndel1.91128921D. Kryshtal1.80101111113WAug 22 · 16:00S. Balabei2.10711111172I. Shyndel1.67116813113LAug 22 · 13:00V. Komar3.001113113I. Shyndel1.3651160WAug 22 · 12:00D. Kryshtal1.6791112782I. Shyndel2.101181011113LAug 21 · 17:33R. Horokh1.8311511113I. Shyndel1.83911421WAug 21 · 16:30I. Shyndel1.7311611113S. Balabei2.00611471
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