TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472335
Played Aug 22Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111181210711811
Igor Shyndel
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeIgor Shyndel to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Igor Shyndel below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Igor Shyndel at 57.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 9–8 Igor Shyndel Igor Shyndel has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kryshtal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1876 vs Shyndel 1983
Shyndel
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 60% vs Shyndel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 40% vs Shyndel 70%
Shyndel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal +1 · Shyndel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Shyndel) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyndel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.67 / Shyndel 2.10
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Shyndel)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472335
Kryshtal1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 150 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it94% 85 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it76% 117 of 155
Shyndel2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 13 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal3wins
AwayShyndel7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShyndel leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtaln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayShyndel87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal2Shyndel8n = 10Shyndel took 8 of 10
S2Kryshtal5Shyndel5n = 10split evenly
S3Kryshtal7Shyndel3n = 10Kryshtal took 7 of 10
S4Kryshtal4Shyndel4n = 8split evenly
S5Kryshtal0Shyndel3n = 3Shyndel took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalShyndelK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.739.8−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalShyndelBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 693 vs 139 / 29442.9%47.3%297 / 693 vs 139 / 294Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.134.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShyndelKryshtal 1.67/Shyndel 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.2%
Shyndel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shyndel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—8101281I. Shyndel—111210113
LAug 16 · 08:00D. Kryshtal—4121681I. Shyndel—111018113
LAug 15 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—6790I. Shyndel—1111113
LAug 9 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—85111182I. Shyndel—111173113
LAug 8 · 17:34D. Kryshtal—1071111102I. Shyndel—121174123
LAug 8 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—811991I. Shyndel—11811113
WJul 18 · 10:13D. Kryshtal—131011113I. Shyndel—1112981
LJul 18 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—811117112I. Shyndel—119911133
WJul 17 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—81211113I. Shyndel—1110851
WJun 20 · 09:00D. Kryshtal—1111113I. Shyndel—4460
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113LSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113
I. Shyndel10
LAug 23 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.366111181V. Komar3.0011713113LAug 23 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8311118113I. Shyndel1.83631181WAug 23 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.91117561I. Shyndel1.8091111113LAug 23 · 05:30R. Horokh1.80101311113I. Shyndel1.911211531LAug 22 · 17:04I. Shyndel1.91128921D. Kryshtal1.80101111113WAug 22 · 16:00S. Balabei2.10711111172I. Shyndel1.67116813113LAug 22 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.00115119113I. Shyndel1.7321131172LAug 22 · 13:00V. Komar3.001113113I. Shyndel1.3651160LAug 21 · 17:33R. Horokh1.8311511113I. Shyndel1.83911421WAug 21 · 16:30I. Shyndel1.7311611113S. Balabei2.00611471
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