TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472129
Played Aug 22Finished
Oleh Torianyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111151181113911
Serhii Bului
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 4–7 Serhii Bului Oleh Torianyk has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bului
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Bului
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1673 vs Bului 1715
Bului
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 100% vs Bului 20%
Torianyk
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 80% vs Bului 10%
Torianyk
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk +5 · Bului +1
Torianyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Bului) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 2.00 / Bului 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Bului)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472129
Torianyk2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 54 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 36
Bului1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite84% won 51 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorianyk3wins
AwayBului7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorianykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBului77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torianyk1Bului9n = 10Bului took 9 of 10
S2Torianyk5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S3Torianyk5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S4Torianyk3Bului3n = 6split evenly
S5Torianyk1Bului2n = 3Bului took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorianykBuluiT − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.339.1−5.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 502 vs 96 / 20054.8%48%275 / 502 vs 96 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiTorianyk 2.00/Bului 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk—611111192S. Bului—115813113
WAug 15 · 06:00O. Torianyk—81111113S. Bului—118981
WJul 31 · 14:00O. Torianyk—611611113S. Bului—11911782
LJul 5 · 09:30O. Torianyk—10570S. Bului—1211113
LJul 4 · 17:33O. Torianyk—7880S. Bului—1111113
LJul 4 · 15:30O. Torianyk—1191161S. Bului—13118113
LApr 5 · 05:30O. Torianyk—7530S. Bului—1111113
LApr 4 · 16:00O. Torianyk—515841S. Bului—111311113
WJan 31 · 17:00O. Torianyk—1112113S. Bului—81090
LDec 14 · 06:00O. Torianyk—92111132S. Bului—111157113
O. Torianyk10
WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:19V. Simchuk3.401186101O. Torianyk1.2571111123LSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561WSep 4 · 14:30O. Torianyk1.301111113V. Simchuk3.406990WSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113WSep 4 · 12:30O. Torianyk1.73911117113D. Tsys2.0011971172
S. Bului10
WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113LAug 21 · 15:00S. Balabei1.17111013113S. Bului4.508121191LAug 21 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.251112123S. Bului3.75710100LAug 21 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.2881111113S. Bului3.50113691LAug 16 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko1.3311114113S. Bului3.25741161LAug 16 · 07:30S. Bului3.00613101162V. Komar1.361111126113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.