TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12452003
Played Aug 18Finished
Tomas Lysek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115511911––
Michal Raska
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:34 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Raska to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Lysek above · Michal Raska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Michal Raska at 56.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Lysek 3–6 Michal Raska Tomas Lysek has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Raska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Raska
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysek 1512 vs Raska 1567
Raska
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysek 40% vs Raska 60%
Raska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysek 50% vs Raska 70%
Raska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysek +2 · Raska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Raska)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 2.00 / Raska 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Raska)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12452003
Lysek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 16 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Raska1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 40 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it58% 29 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLysek3wins
AwayRaska6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderRaska leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysek60%3 of 5
AwayRaska100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysek5Raska4n = 9Lysek took 5 of 9
S2Lysek3Raska6n = 9Raska took 6 of 9
S3Lysek4Raska5n = 9Raska took 5 of 9
S4Lysek2Raska5n = 7Raska took 5 of 7
S5Lysek1Raska2n = 3Raska took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricLysekRaskaL − RBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.440.4−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekRaskaBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 208 vs 232 / 48754.3%47.6%113 / 208 vs 232 / 487Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RaskaLysek 2.00/Raska 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Raska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Raska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 18 · 08:15T. Lysek—911591M. Raska—11511113
LJul 29 · 06:10T. Lysek—84120M. Raska—1111143
LJul 28 · 08:50T. Lysek—11128982M. Raska—8101111113
LJul 28 · 06:15T. Lysek—13970M. Raska—1511113
WJun 13 · 07:15T. Lysek—121011113M. Raska—1012491
WApr 3 · 06:45T. Lysek—111011113M. Raska—412971
LFeb 21 · 19:15T. Lysek—811971M. Raska—11711113
LJan 30 · 08:10T. Lysek—118121192M. Raska—8111013113
WDec 29 · 18:45T. Lysek—116118113M. Raska—81171152
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791
M. Raska10
LAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 20:15M. Raska1.73113521J. Volny2.0061111113LAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791LAug 19 · 18:15T. Molin1.67411116113M. Raska2.1011561182WAug 18 · 13:20R. Sedlacek1.3311681192M. Raska3.25611118113WAug 18 · 12:15M. Raska2.2516128113D. Jr1.5714101171LAug 18 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.401111113M. Raska2.757970WAug 18 · 10:15A. Cizek1.61711581M. Raska2.2011611113WAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 07:15M. Raska2.201177101L. Slavik1.6171111123
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