TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12455314
Played Aug 18Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611811118911
Michal Raska
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 77.9% is still 77.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
77.9%
77.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Michal Raska below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 77.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 2–1 Michal Raska Michal Raska has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:49What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1610 vs Raska 1580
Sedlacek
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 40% vs Raska 80%
Raska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 60% vs Raska 80%
Raska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -1 · Raska +4
Raska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Raska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.33 / Raska 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Sedlacek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12455314
Sedlacek1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 38 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Raska3.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 82 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back16% 5 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSedlacek2wins
AwayRaska1wins
Sedlacek leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek66.7%2 of 3
AwayRaskan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek3Raska0n = 3Sedlacek took 3 of 3
S2Sedlacek2Raska1n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
S3Sedlacek1Raska2n = 3Raska took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSedlacekRaskaS − RBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match34.733.7+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekRaskaBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 257 vs 235 / 49146.3%47.9%119 / 257 vs 235 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.33/Raska 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.9%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Raska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 18 · 10:45R. Sedlacek—1111113M. Raska—7970
LJun 1 · 20:50R. Sedlacek—118651M. Raska—81111113
WJun 1 · 18:15R. Sedlacek—11127113M. Raska—9101171
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112
M. Raska10
LAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 20:15M. Raska1.73113521J. Volny2.0061111113LAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791LAug 19 · 18:15T. Molin1.67411116113M. Raska2.1011561182WAug 18 · 12:15M. Raska2.2516128113D. Jr1.5714101171LAug 18 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.401111113M. Raska2.757970WAug 18 · 10:15A. Cizek1.61711581M. Raska2.2011611113WAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113WAug 18 · 08:15T. Lysek2.00911591M. Raska1.7311511113LAug 18 · 07:15M. Raska2.201177101L. Slavik1.6171111123
Upcoming Matches
R. Sedlacek
M. Raska
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