TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12452005
Played Aug 18Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119117––––
Michal Raska
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 72.9% is still 72.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
72.9%
72.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Michal Raska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 72.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 1–1 Michal Raska Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:33What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1615 vs Raska 1582
Sedlacek
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 40% vs Raska 60%
Raska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 70% vs Raska 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek +1 · Raska +3
Raska
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Raska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.40 / Raska 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Sedlacek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12452005
Sedlacek1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite49% won 38 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Raska2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 82 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back16% 5 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSedlacek1wins
AwayRaska1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSedlacekRaskaS − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.539.0−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekRaskaBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 255 vs 234 / 48946.3%47.9%118 / 255 vs 234 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.40/Raska 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 1 · 20:50R. Sedlacek—118651M. Raska—81111113
WJun 1 · 18:15R. Sedlacek—11127113M. Raska—9101171
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112
M. Raska10
LAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 20:15M. Raska1.73113521J. Volny2.0061111113LAug 19 · 18:45D. Branny1.6791111113M. Raska2.10115791LAug 19 · 18:15T. Molin1.67411116113M. Raska2.1011561182WAug 18 · 13:20R. Sedlacek1.3311681192M. Raska3.25611118113WAug 18 · 12:15M. Raska2.2516128113D. Jr1.5714101171WAug 18 · 10:15A. Cizek1.61711581M. Raska2.2011611113WAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113WAug 18 · 08:15T. Lysek2.00911591M. Raska1.7311511113LAug 18 · 07:15M. Raska2.201177101L. Slavik1.6171111123
Upcoming Matches
R. Sedlacek
M. Raska
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