TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12414896
Played Aug 13Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1101210411119––
Ruslan Skoropad
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeRuslan Skoropad to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Ruslan Skoropad below
Set 1 · 11-0
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 68 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ruslan Skoropad at 68.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 6–12 Ruslan Skoropad Viktor Sydorchuk has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:21What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Skoropad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-12 in 18
Skoropad
Wrong
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 681 vs Skoropad 722
Skoropad
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Skoropad 40%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 70% vs Skoropad 50%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -1 · Skoropad -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Skoropad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skoropad form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.63 / Skoropad 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Skoropad)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12414896
Sydorchuk2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 33 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Skoropad1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 35 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk1wins
AwaySkoropad9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkoropad leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk33.3%1 of 3
AwaySkoropad100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk3Skoropad7n = 10Skoropad took 7 of 10
S2Sydorchuk3Skoropad7n = 10Skoropad took 7 of 10
S3Sydorchuk4Skoropad6n = 10Skoropad took 6 of 10
S4Sydorchuk2Skoropad6n = 8Skoropad took 6 of 8
S5Sydorchuk1Skoropad3n = 4Skoropad took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukSkoropadSydorchuk − SkoropadBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.343.0−6.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukSkoropadBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 277 vs 57 / 11242.2%50.9%117 / 277 vs 57 / 112Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkoropadSydorchuk 2.63/Skoropad 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Skoropad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 12:25V. Sydorchuk—139117113R. Skoropad—111161172
LMay 27 · 09:35V. Sydorchuk—91440R. Skoropad—1116113
LMay 20 · 05:35V. Sydorchuk—117791R. Skoropad—71111113
LMay 13 · 05:25V. Sydorchuk—10121261R. Skoropad—121014113
LApr 4 · 06:55V. Sydorchuk—78111112R. Skoropad—111196113
LApr 2 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk—11111171R. Skoropad—13613113
LApr 1 · 16:55V. Sydorchuk—1081531R. Skoropad—121113113
LMar 17 · 10:05V. Sydorchuk—131031142R. Skoropad—1112113113
LMar 8 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk—51111462R. Skoropad—115211113
LMar 7 · 19:25V. Sydorchuk—6670R. Skoropad—1111113
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 30 · 10:55V. Sydorchuk2.2596131182P. Melnichuk1.571111118113
R. Skoropad10
WAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192LAug 13 · 07:55R. Skoropad1.831111961O. Bolnyh1.8313811113LAug 13 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.441111113R. Skoropad2.634340WAug 13 · 05:25R. Skoropad1.36111111113M. Senyk3.00135371WAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123LAug 12 · 16:55R. Skoropad1.7311511432O. Bolnyh2.00911511113WAug 12 · 15:55R. Skoropad1.3011119113A. Lanchut3.40471111WAug 12 · 14:25R. Skoropad1.331110117113M. Senyk3.2531251172LAug 12 · 12:25R. Skoropad1.33111161172V. Sydorchuk3.25139117113LAug 5 · 18:25R. Skoropad1.53861181P. Melnichuk2.3811118113
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