TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12407052
Played Aug 12Finished
Ruslan Skoropad
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114117911111––
Andrii Lanchut
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeRuslan Skoropad to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Skoropad above · Andrii Lanchut below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 65 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Ruslan Skoropad at 72.3%
65 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Skoropad 2–0 Andrii Lanchut Andrii Lanchut has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Skoropad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skoropad 743 vs Lanchut 377
Skoropad
Correct
both rated, 366 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skoropad 40% vs Lanchut 20%
Skoropad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skoropad 20% vs Lanchut 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skoropad +1 · Lanchut -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Skoropad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skoropad form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkoropad 1.30 / Lanchut 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Skoropad)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12407052
Skoropad1.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 32 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Lanchut3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog7% won 1 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkoropad2wins
AwayLanchut0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSkoropad leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkoropadLanchutS − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match48.538.0+10.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkoropadLanchutBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 106 vs 6 / 6750.9%9%54 / 106 vs 6 / 67Avg sets wonper match1.90.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.428.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkoropadSkoropad 1.30/Lanchut 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Skoropad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skoropad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 17 · 12:25R. Skoropad—128911113A. Lanchut—101111362
WOct 6 · 12:25R. Skoropad—111311113A. Lanchut—5111361
R. Skoropad10
WAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192LAug 13 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk2.6311124113R. Skoropad1.440101191LAug 13 · 07:55R. Skoropad1.831111961O. Bolnyh1.8313811113LAug 13 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.441111113R. Skoropad2.634340WAug 13 · 05:25R. Skoropad1.36111111113M. Senyk3.00135371WAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123LAug 12 · 16:55R. Skoropad1.7311511432O. Bolnyh2.00911511113WAug 12 · 14:25R. Skoropad1.331110117113M. Senyk3.2531251172LAug 12 · 12:25R. Skoropad1.33111161172V. Sydorchuk3.25139117113LAug 5 · 18:25R. Skoropad1.53861181P. Melnichuk2.3811118113
A. Lanchut10
LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
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