TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12407048
Played Aug 12Finished
Ruslan Skoropad
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113119611117711
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 79.7% is still 79.7%
Graded at full timeRuslan Skoropad to win
79.7%
79.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRuslan Skoropad above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Ruslan Skoropad at 79.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Skoropad 12–5 Viktor Sydorchuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Skoropad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-5 in 17
Skoropad
Wrong
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skoropad 749 vs Sydorchuk 680
Skoropad
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skoropad 20% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Sydorchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skoropad 10% vs Sydorchuk 50%
Sydorchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skoropad -1 · Sydorchuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Skoropad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkoropad 1.33 / Sydorchuk 3.25
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Skoropad)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12407048
Skoropad1.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 32 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Sydorchuk3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 32 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkoropad9wins
AwaySydorchuk1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkoropad leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkoropad100%7 of 7
AwaySydorchuk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skoropad7Sydorchuk3n = 10Skoropad took 7 of 10
S2Skoropad7Sydorchuk3n = 10Skoropad took 7 of 10
S3Skoropad6Sydorchuk4n = 10Skoropad took 6 of 10
S4Skoropad5Sydorchuk3n = 8Skoropad took 5 of 8
S5Skoropad3Sydorchuk0n = 3Skoropad took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkoropadSydorchukSkoropad − SydorchukBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.935.1+6.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkoropadSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 104 vs 112 / 26951%41.6%53 / 104 vs 112 / 269Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkoropadSkoropad 1.33/Sydorchuk 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.7%
Skoropad · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 27 · 09:35R. Skoropad—1116113V. Sydorchuk—91440
WMay 20 · 05:35R. Skoropad—71111113V. Sydorchuk—117791
WMay 13 · 05:25R. Skoropad—121014113V. Sydorchuk—10121261
WApr 4 · 06:55R. Skoropad—111196113V. Sydorchuk—78111112
WApr 2 · 08:55R. Skoropad—13613113V. Sydorchuk—11111171
WApr 1 · 16:55R. Skoropad—121113113V. Sydorchuk—1081531
WMar 17 · 10:05R. Skoropad—1112113113V. Sydorchuk—131031142
WMar 8 · 11:25R. Skoropad—115211113V. Sydorchuk—51111462
WMar 7 · 19:25R. Skoropad—1111113V. Sydorchuk—6670
LDec 12 · 13:55R. Skoropad—1011771V. Sydorchuk—12511113
R. Skoropad10
WAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192LAug 13 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk2.6311124113R. Skoropad1.440101191LAug 13 · 07:55R. Skoropad1.831111961O. Bolnyh1.8313811113LAug 13 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.441111113R. Skoropad2.634340WAug 13 · 05:25R. Skoropad1.36111111113M. Senyk3.00135371WAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123LAug 12 · 16:55R. Skoropad1.7311511432O. Bolnyh2.00911511113WAug 12 · 15:55R. Skoropad1.3011119113A. Lanchut3.40471111WAug 12 · 14:25R. Skoropad1.331110117113M. Senyk3.2531251172LAug 5 · 18:25R. Skoropad1.53861181P. Melnichuk2.3811118113
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 13 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk2.6311124113R. Skoropad1.440101191
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