TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415204
Played Aug 13Finished
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114113114––––
Ruslan Skoropad
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeBohdan Pyrtyk to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Pyrtyk above · Ruslan Skoropad below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 44 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Bohdan Pyrtyk at 68.5%
44 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Pyrtyk 6–1 Ruslan Skoropad Ruslan Skoropad has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pyrtyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Pyrtyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrtyk 879 vs Skoropad 711
Pyrtyk
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrtyk 80% vs Skoropad 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrtyk 80% vs Skoropad 50%
Pyrtyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrtyk +3 · Skoropad +2
Pyrtyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Pyrtyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skoropad form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrtyk 1.44 / Skoropad 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Pyrtyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12415204
Pyrtyk1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 39 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Skoropad2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 4 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePyrtyk6wins
AwaySkoropad1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPyrtyk leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrtyk100%6 of 6
AwaySkoropadn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrtyk6Skoropad1n = 7Pyrtyk took 6 of 7
S2Pyrtyk4Skoropad3n = 7Pyrtyk took 4 of 7
S3Pyrtyk6Skoropad1n = 7Pyrtyk took 6 of 7
S4Pyrtyk3Skoropad1n = 4Pyrtyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricPyrtykSkoropadP − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match37.628.3+9.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrtykSkoropadBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 335 vs 58 / 11443.3%50.9%145 / 335 vs 58 / 114Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PyrtykPyrtyk 1.44/Skoropad 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Pyrtyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pyrtyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 13 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk—1111113R. Skoropad—4340
WMay 27 · 06:35B. Pyrtyk—11913113R. Skoropad—8111181
WMay 20 · 08:05B. Pyrtyk—111165113R. Skoropad—92111162
LMay 13 · 08:55B. Pyrtyk—25111192R. Skoropad—111136113
WApr 2 · 10:25B. Pyrtyk—1111113R. Skoropad—9380
WApr 1 · 14:55B. Pyrtyk—1111113R. Skoropad—8630
WMar 19 · 05:55B. Pyrtyk—11411123R. Skoropad—7113101
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113WAug 22 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.202980LAug 22 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk2.6341280V. Ivanytskyi1.441114113LAug 22 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk2.63911881A. Nikolenko1.4411511113LAug 22 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk2.0091181282Y. Shcherbak1.731151110113
R. Skoropad10
WAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192LAug 13 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk2.6311124113R. Skoropad1.440101191LAug 13 · 07:55R. Skoropad1.831111961O. Bolnyh1.8313811113WAug 13 · 05:25R. Skoropad1.36111111113M. Senyk3.00135371WAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123LAug 12 · 16:55R. Skoropad1.7311511432O. Bolnyh2.00911511113WAug 12 · 15:55R. Skoropad1.3011119113A. Lanchut3.40471111WAug 12 · 14:25R. Skoropad1.331110117113M. Senyk3.2531251172LAug 12 · 12:25R. Skoropad1.33111161172V. Sydorchuk3.25139117113LAug 5 · 18:25R. Skoropad1.53861181P. Melnichuk2.3811118113
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