TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12403839
Played Aug 12Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117911611––
Daniel Bak
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeDaniel Bak to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Daniel Bak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Bak at 60.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 1–0 Daniel Bak Daniel Bak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:13What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 2002 vs Bak 1919
Kolasa
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 100% vs Bak 60%
Kolasa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 80% vs Bak 50%
Kolasa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa +5 · Bak +1
Kolasa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolasa) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolasa form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 2.38 / Bak 1.53
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolasa)+14.8pp
TT Elite Series · #12403839
Kolasa2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 53 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back33% 24 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 35
Bak1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite40% won 4 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it43% 3 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKolasa1wins
AwayBak0wins
Kolasa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKolasaBakK − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.030.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaBakBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 487 vs 7 / 1555%46.7%268 / 487 vs 7 / 15Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.142.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaKolasa 2.38/Bak 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 12 · 07:20S. Kolasa—91111113D. Bak—114781
S. Kolasa10
WSep 7 · 12:30S. Kolasa1.734111110113K. Kolodziej2.0011251282LSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113LSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761
D. Bak10
WAug 12 · 16:50P. Cyrnek1.8061171152D. Bak1.91116117113LAug 12 · 16:00J. Folwarski1.5061111113D. Bak2.50112711LAug 12 · 15:20D. Bak1.579990A. Abbasi2.251111113LAug 12 · 13:40D. Bak1.6171371182A. Wiecek2.201111117113WAug 12 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.83118961D. Bak1.8391111113LAug 12 · 07:20D. Bak1.53114781S. Kolasa2.3891111113WAug 12 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.2011311782D. Bak1.61911411113LAug 12 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.10713911113D. Bak1.67111111982WAug 12 · 03:25M. Domin2.75911771D. Bak1.4011411113WAug 11 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.8311561162D. Bak1.83911115113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.