TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12409349
Played Aug 12Finished
Daniel Bak
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911911––––
Amirreza Abbasi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:32 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeAmirreza Abbasi to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Bak above · Amirreza Abbasi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Amirreza Abbasi at 60.4%
60 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Bak 0–2 Amirreza Abbasi Daniel Bak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:32What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Bak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bak 1920 vs Abbasi 1941
Abbasi
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bak 60% vs Abbasi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bak 50% vs Abbasi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bak -1 · Abbasi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Abbasi) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abbasi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBak 1.57 / Abbasi 2.25
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Abbasi)+12.9pp
TT Elite Series · #12409349
Bak1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 4 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it43% 3 of 7
Abbasi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 42 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBak0wins
AwayAbbasi2wins
Abbasi leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricBakAbbasiB − ABasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.038.5−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBakAbbasiBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 20 vs 215 / 45845%46.9%9 / 20 vs 215 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match41.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbbasiBak 1.57/Abbasi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Abbasi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Abbasi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 12 · 15:20D. Bak—9990A. Abbasi—1111113
LAug 11 · 09:20D. Bak—139851A. Abbasi—111111113
D. Bak10
WAug 12 · 16:50P. Cyrnek1.8061171152D. Bak1.91116117113LAug 12 · 16:00J. Folwarski1.5061111113D. Bak2.50112711LAug 12 · 13:40D. Bak1.6171371182A. Wiecek2.201111117113WAug 12 · 12:50S. Kolasa2.38911961D. Bak1.5311711113WAug 12 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.83118961D. Bak1.8391111113LAug 12 · 07:20D. Bak1.53114781S. Kolasa2.3891111113WAug 12 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.2011311782D. Bak1.61911411113LAug 12 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.10713911113D. Bak1.67111111982WAug 12 · 03:25M. Domin2.75911771D. Bak1.4011411113WAug 11 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.8311561162D. Bak1.83911115113
A. Abbasi10
LSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113WSep 2 · 16:02A. Abbasi2.2511911113J. Park1.579111051WAug 30 · 17:00A. Abbasi—11114113P. Zatowka—461161LAug 29 · 17:15O. Kveton—131131163A. Abbasi—15911142WAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 18:18A. Abbasi1.736340M. Bobocica2.001111113LAug 28 · 17:32K. Zhou1.371211123A. Abbasi2.80109100WAug 23 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.1081111992A. Abbasi1.67118511113WAug 23 · 13:20S. Dosz2.504119111A. Abbasi1.5011911133LAug 23 · 11:15P. David1.531611123A. Abbasi2.38144100
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