TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12402435
Played Aug 11Finished
Jaroslaw Ubik
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111311118––––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
13111311118––––
H2H Jaroslaw Ubik 2–1 Jakub Komorowicz Jakub Komorowicz has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Komorowicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ubik 1318 vs Komorowicz 1380
Komorowicz
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ubik 40% vs Komorowicz 60%
Komorowicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ubik 30% vs Komorowicz 60%
Komorowicz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ubik +1 · Komorowicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Komorowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUbik 2.15 / Komorowicz 1.62
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Komorowicz)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12402435
Ubik2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Komorowicz1.62
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 54 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUbik2wins
AwayKomorowicz1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderUbik leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUbikn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKomorowicz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ubik0Komorowicz3n = 3Komorowicz took 3 of 3
S2Ubik2Komorowicz1n = 3Ubik took 2 of 3
S3Ubik1Komorowicz2n = 3Komorowicz took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricUbikKomorowiczU − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match41.042.7−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUbikKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 69 vs 192 / 41629%46.2%20 / 69 vs 192 / 416Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match31.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczUbik 2.15/Komorowicz 1.62
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ubik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 28 · 17:00J. Ubik—811811133J. Komorowicz—118119112
LJul 27 · 15:30J. Ubik—5490J. Komorowicz—1111113
WJul 26 · 15:35J. Ubik—6111115113J. Komorowicz—11371772
J. Ubik10
LAug 11 · 13:30K. Patryk1.25111110113J. Ubik3.30851251WAug 11 · 11:00W. Arkadiusz1.447970J. Ubik2.471111113WAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951LAug 11 · 07:30J. Ubik2.348610P. Odelski1.491111113LAug 11 · 05:30J. Ubik2.23912871K. Patryk1.53111011113LAug 10 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.611111113J. Ubik2.208990WAug 10 · 21:00K. Patryk1.75511651J. Ubik1.9511911113LAug 10 · 19:30J. Ubik1.90671181P. Kamil1.8011119113LAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.5311611113J. Ubik2.35611351LAug 10 · 15:30K. Kos1.42781111113J. Ubik2.5011113482
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182
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