TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12398382
Played Aug 10Finished
Jaroslaw Ubik
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711119811––
Pasek Kamil
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePasek Kamil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
611711119811––
H2H Jaroslaw Ubik 1–2 Pasek Kamil Jaroslaw Ubik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kamil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ubik 1322 vs Kamil 1460
Kamil
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ubik 40% vs Kamil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ubik 30% vs Kamil 60%
Kamil
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ubik -2 · Kamil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kamil) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kamil form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUbik 1.90 / Kamil 1.80
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kamil)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12398382
Ubik1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Kamil1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUbik1wins
AwayKamil2wins
Kamil leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ubik1Kamil2n = 3Kamil took 2 of 3
S2Ubik1Kamil2n = 3Kamil took 2 of 3
S3Ubik1Kamil2n = 3Kamil took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricUbikKamilU − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match22.728.3−5.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUbikKamilBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 63 vs 99 / 16928.6%58.6%18 / 63 vs 99 / 169Avg sets wonper match1.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match31.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KamilUbik 1.90/Kamil 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kamil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 28 · 16:00J. Ubik—1111113P. Kamil—3880
LJul 27 · 14:00J. Ubik—3690P. Kamil—1111113
LJul 26 · 16:35J. Ubik—3680P. Kamil—1111113
J. Ubik10
LAug 11 · 13:30K. Patryk1.25111110113J. Ubik3.30851251WAug 11 · 11:00W. Arkadiusz1.447970J. Ubik2.471111113WAug 11 · 10:00J. Ubik2.151313113J. Komorowicz1.62111180WAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951LAug 11 · 07:30J. Ubik2.348610P. Odelski1.491111113LAug 11 · 05:30J. Ubik2.23912871K. Patryk1.53111011113LAug 10 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.611111113J. Ubik2.208990WAug 10 · 21:00K. Patryk1.75511651J. Ubik1.9511911113LAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.5311611113J. Ubik2.35611351LAug 10 · 15:30K. Kos1.42781111113J. Ubik2.5011113482
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951
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