TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12398077
Played Aug 10Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611113115––
Jaroslaw Ubik
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:33 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
116611113115––
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 1–1 Jaroslaw Ubik Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Arkadiusz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Arkadiusz 1452 vs Ubik 1331
Arkadiusz
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Arkadiusz 60% vs Ubik 40%
Arkadiusz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Arkadiusz 50% vs Ubik 30%
Arkadiusz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Arkadiusz -1 · Ubik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Arkadiusz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.53 / Ubik 2.35
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12398077
Arkadiusz1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 137 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it69% 90 of 130
Ubik2.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeArkadiusz1wins
AwayUbik1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricArkadiuszUbikA − UBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.028.0+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszUbikBasisWin rate · lifetime553 / 982 vs 18 / 6256.3%29%553 / 982 vs 18 / 62Avg sets wonper match2.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match41.231.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszArkadiusz 1.53/Ubik 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 28 · 15:00W. Arkadiusz—1111133J. Ubik—75110
LJul 27 · 18:30W. Arkadiusz—9990J. Ubik—1111113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471
J. Ubik10
LAug 11 · 13:30K. Patryk1.25111110113J. Ubik3.30851251WAug 11 · 11:00W. Arkadiusz1.447970J. Ubik2.471111113WAug 11 · 10:00J. Ubik2.151313113J. Komorowicz1.62111180WAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951LAug 11 · 07:30J. Ubik2.348610P. Odelski1.491111113LAug 11 · 05:30J. Ubik2.23912871K. Patryk1.53111011113LAug 10 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.611111113J. Ubik2.208990WAug 10 · 21:00K. Patryk1.75511651J. Ubik1.9511911113LAug 10 · 19:30J. Ubik1.90671181P. Kamil1.8011119113LAug 10 · 15:30K. Kos1.42781111113J. Ubik2.5011113482
Upcoming Matches
W. Arkadiusz
J. Ubik
Nothing scheduled
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