TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12399055
Played Aug 10Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119611511––
Jaroslaw Ubik
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
511119611511––
H2H Kiejda Patryk 3–1 Jaroslaw Ubik Jaroslaw Ubik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1494 vs Ubik 1313
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 40% vs Ubik 20%
Patryk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 50% vs Ubik 20%
Patryk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk -1 · Ubik -3
Ubik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Patryk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ubik form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.75 / Ubik 1.95
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Patryk)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12399055
Patryk1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 55 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Ubik1.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePatryk3wins
AwayUbik1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderPatryk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk100%3 of 3
AwayUbikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk3Ubik1n = 4Patryk took 3 of 4
S2Patryk3Ubik1n = 4Patryk took 3 of 4
S3Patryk4Ubik0n = 4Patryk took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPatrykUbikP − UBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.026.0+12.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykUbikBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 234 vs 18 / 6455.1%28.1%129 / 234 vs 18 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.431.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.75/Ubik 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ubik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 28 · 21:00K. Patryk—1111113J. Ubik—4570
WJul 27 · 21:30K. Patryk—1111113J. Ubik—6550
LJul 27 · 17:00K. Patryk—1091111102J. Ubik—121172123
WJul 26 · 22:05K. Patryk—1112123J. Ubik—810100
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 20:00K. Patryk—1175131W. Dariusz—61111153LSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113
J. Ubik10
LAug 11 · 13:30K. Patryk1.25111110113J. Ubik3.30851251WAug 11 · 11:00W. Arkadiusz1.447970J. Ubik2.471111113WAug 11 · 10:00J. Ubik2.151313113J. Komorowicz1.62111180WAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951LAug 11 · 07:30J. Ubik2.348610P. Odelski1.491111113LAug 11 · 05:30J. Ubik2.23912871K. Patryk1.53111011113LAug 10 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.611111113J. Ubik2.208990LAug 10 · 19:30J. Ubik1.90671181P. Kamil1.8011119113LAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.5311611113J. Ubik2.35611351LAug 10 · 15:30K. Kos1.42781111113J. Ubik2.5011113482
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