TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12402662
Played Aug 11Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Jaroslaw Ubik
Away
2.47
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
711911711––––
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 5–1 Jaroslaw Ubik Jaroslaw Ubik has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Arkadiusz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Arkadiusz
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Arkadiusz 1431 vs Ubik 1337
Arkadiusz
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Arkadiusz 40% vs Ubik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Arkadiusz 50% vs Ubik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Arkadiusz +1 · Ubik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Arkadiusz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.44 / Ubik 2.47
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #12402662
Arkadiusz1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 140 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it71% 93 of 132
Ubik2.47
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeArkadiusz5wins
AwayUbik1wins
Arkadiusz leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz100%4 of 4
AwayUbikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz4Ubik2n = 6Arkadiusz took 4 of 6
S2Arkadiusz4Ubik2n = 6Arkadiusz took 4 of 6
S3Arkadiusz5Ubik1n = 6Arkadiusz took 5 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricArkadiuszUbikA − UBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match34.827.3+7.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszUbikBasisWin rate · lifetime554 / 986 vs 21 / 7056.2%30%554 / 986 vs 21 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match41.331.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszArkadiusz 1.44/Ubik 2.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.2%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ubik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 10 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz—1111113J. Ubik—8990
WAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz—11611113J. Ubik—611351
WAug 9 · 22:35W. Arkadiusz—71111113J. Ubik—118981
WAug 9 · 18:35W. Arkadiusz—1111133J. Ubik—28110
WJul 28 · 15:00W. Arkadiusz—1111133J. Ubik—75110
LJul 27 · 18:30W. Arkadiusz—9990J. Ubik—1111113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471
J. Ubik10
LAug 11 · 13:30K. Patryk1.25111110113J. Ubik3.30851251WAug 11 · 10:00J. Ubik2.151313113J. Komorowicz1.62111180WAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951LAug 11 · 07:30J. Ubik2.348610P. Odelski1.491111113LAug 11 · 05:30J. Ubik2.23912871K. Patryk1.53111011113LAug 10 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.611111113J. Ubik2.208990WAug 10 · 21:00K. Patryk1.75511651J. Ubik1.9511911113LAug 10 · 19:30J. Ubik1.90671181P. Kamil1.8011119113LAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.5311611113J. Ubik2.35611351LAug 10 · 15:30K. Kos1.42781111113J. Ubik2.5011113482
Upcoming Matches
W. Arkadiusz
J. Ubik
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.