TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12396703
Played Aug 10Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711811113114118
Jaroslaw Ubik
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
711811113114118
H2H Kamil Kos 1–1 Jaroslaw Ubik Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kos 1432 vs Ubik 1341
Kos
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Ubik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 50% vs Ubik 30%
Kos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +1 · Ubik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.42 / Ubik 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kos)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12396703
Kos1.42
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 37 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it67% 34 of 51
Ubik2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKos1wins
AwayUbik1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKosUbikK − UBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.032.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosUbikBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 289 vs 18 / 6149.1%29.5%142 / 289 vs 18 / 61Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.531.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.42/Ubik 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.8%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 28 · 22:00K. Kos—11119862J. Ubik—691111113
WJul 28 · 19:00K. Kos—1111113J. Ubik—3670
K. Kos10
WSep 7 · 21:00L. Buklat1.806880K. Kos1.861111113LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133LSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos1.6471111882W. Arkadiusz2.04118511113LSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113
J. Ubik10
LAug 11 · 13:30K. Patryk1.25111110113J. Ubik3.30851251WAug 11 · 11:00W. Arkadiusz1.447970J. Ubik2.471111113WAug 11 · 10:00J. Ubik2.151313113J. Komorowicz1.62111180WAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951LAug 11 · 07:30J. Ubik2.348610P. Odelski1.491111113LAug 11 · 05:30J. Ubik2.23912871K. Patryk1.53111011113LAug 10 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.611111113J. Ubik2.208990WAug 10 · 21:00K. Patryk1.75511651J. Ubik1.9511911113LAug 10 · 19:30J. Ubik1.90671181P. Kamil1.8011119113LAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.5311611113J. Ubik2.35611351
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