TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12399208
Played Aug 10Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.61
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Jaroslaw Ubik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:44 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
118119119––––
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 4–1 Jaroslaw Ubik Jaroslaw Ubik has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Arkadiusz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Arkadiusz
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Arkadiusz 1459 vs Ubik 1333
Arkadiusz
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Arkadiusz 60% vs Ubik 40%
Arkadiusz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Arkadiusz 60% vs Ubik 30%
Arkadiusz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Arkadiusz -1 · Ubik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Arkadiusz) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.61 / Ubik 2.20
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+10.0pp
TT Cup · #12399208
Arkadiusz1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 137 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it69% 90 of 130
Ubik2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeArkadiusz4wins
AwayUbik1wins
Arkadiusz leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz100%3 of 3
AwayUbikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz3Ubik2n = 5Arkadiusz took 3 of 5
S2Arkadiusz3Ubik2n = 5Arkadiusz took 3 of 5
S3Arkadiusz4Ubik1n = 5Arkadiusz took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricArkadiuszUbikA − UBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.227.6+7.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszUbikBasisWin rate · lifetime555 / 985 vs 19 / 6556.4%29.2%555 / 985 vs 19 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.31.3per matchAvg pointsper match41.331.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszArkadiusz 1.61/Ubik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz—11611113J. Ubik—611351
WAug 9 · 22:35W. Arkadiusz—71111113J. Ubik—118981
WAug 9 · 18:35W. Arkadiusz—1111133J. Ubik—28110
WJul 28 · 15:00W. Arkadiusz—1111133J. Ubik—75110
LJul 27 · 18:30W. Arkadiusz—9990J. Ubik—1111113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471
J. Ubik10
LAug 11 · 13:30K. Patryk1.25111110113J. Ubik3.30851251WAug 11 · 11:00W. Arkadiusz1.447970J. Ubik2.471111113WAug 11 · 10:00J. Ubik2.151313113J. Komorowicz1.62111180WAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951LAug 11 · 07:30J. Ubik2.348610P. Odelski1.491111113LAug 11 · 05:30J. Ubik2.23912871K. Patryk1.53111011113WAug 10 · 21:00K. Patryk1.75511651J. Ubik1.9511911113LAug 10 · 19:30J. Ubik1.90671181P. Kamil1.8011119113LAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.5311611113J. Ubik2.35611351LAug 10 · 15:30K. Kos1.42781111113J. Ubik2.5011113482
Upcoming Matches
W. Arkadiusz
J. Ubik
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