TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12384172
Played Aug 9Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119611113611118
Oleksii Gazhula
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fashchevskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Oleksii Gazhula below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 87 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Fashchevskyi at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 7–14 Oleksii Gazhula Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gazhula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-14 in 21
Gazhula
Wrong
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1567 vs Gazhula 1452
Fashchevskyi
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 80% vs Gazhula 20%
Fashchevskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 70% vs Gazhula 30%
Fashchevskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -1 · Gazhula -4
Gazhula
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fashchevskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gazhula form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.00 / Gazhula 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fashchevskyi)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12384172
Fashchevskyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 74 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Gazhula1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 78 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi4wins
AwayGazhula6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGazhula leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi40%2 of 5
AwayGazhula60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi5Gazhula5n = 10split evenly
S2Fashchevskyi6Gazhula4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S3Fashchevskyi2Gazhula8n = 10Gazhula took 8 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi5Gazhula5n = 10split evenly
S5Fashchevskyi3Gazhula3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiGazhulaF − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.844.9−2.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiGazhulaBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 473 vs 233 / 49152.6%47.5%249 / 473 vs 233 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FashchevskyiFashchevskyi 2.00/Gazhula 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi—771171O. Gazhula—11118113
WJul 24 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi—411511123O. Gazhula—119119102
WJul 17 · 02:15I. Fashchevskyi—111197113O. Gazhula—66111192
LJul 15 · 15:55I. Fashchevskyi—71281162O. Gazhula—1110118113
LJun 26 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi—5111191O. Gazhula—11513113
WJun 26 · 24:45I. Fashchevskyi—12411113O. Gazhula—1011671
WJun 18 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi—911611113O. Gazhula—11511662
LJun 6 · 17:55I. Fashchevskyi—119111182O. Gazhula—711136113
LJun 5 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi—111331782O. Gazhula—9111119113
LApr 8 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi—117991O. Gazhula—91111113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181
O. Gazhula10
WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171WAug 15 · 24:15O. Gazhula1.91111011113I. Pytsko1.80512861WAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112WAug 14 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.9111113113O. Lutsyshyn1.80381131
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