TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435808
Played Aug 15Finished
Oleksii Gazhula
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121010121012711––
Mykola Slozka
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 84 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 21–7 Mykola Slozka Mykola Slozka has won 7 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Gazhula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-7 in 28
Gazhula
Wrong
gap of 14 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1458 vs Slozka 1526
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula -3 · Slozka +1
Gazhula
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Gazhula) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.50 / Slozka 2.50
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Gazhula)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12435808
Gazhula1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 78 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it78% 57 of 73
Slozka2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 95 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGazhula7wins
AwaySlozka3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGazhula leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGazhula100%7 of 7
AwaySlozka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula7Slozka3n = 10Gazhula took 7 of 10
S2Gazhula4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Gazhula7Slozka3n = 10Gazhula took 7 of 10
S4Gazhula4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S5Gazhula2Slozka1n = 3Gazhula took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGazhulaSlozkaG − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.736.8+2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 489 vs 324 / 74648.1%43.4%235 / 489 vs 324 / 746Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.50/Slozka 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 09:25O. Gazhula—71111482M. Slozka—118511113
LAug 7 · 23:15O. Gazhula—7870M. Slozka—1111113
WJun 26 · 13:25O. Gazhula—11119113M. Slozka—691191
WJun 25 · 20:15O. Gazhula—11711113M. Slozka—911691
WMay 19 · 06:05O. Gazhula—12911133M. Slozka—10117111
WMay 18 · 15:05O. Gazhula—117117113M. Slozka—41161182
WMay 17 · 23:00O. Gazhula—11612113M. Slozka—8111051
LMay 11 · 13:35O. Gazhula—991191M. Slozka—11114113
WApr 1 · 05:05O. Gazhula—1211113M. Slozka—10970
WMar 31 · 17:05O. Gazhula—111169113M. Slozka—76111182
O. Gazhula10
WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171WAug 15 · 24:15O. Gazhula1.91111011113I. Pytsko1.80512861WAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112WAug 14 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.9111113113O. Lutsyshyn1.80381131LAug 9 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi2.00116116113O. Gazhula1.7391131182
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112
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