TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435824
Played Aug 15Finished
Oleksii Gazhula
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1156111181113711
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 14–19 Ivan Pytsko Oleksii Gazhula has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-19 in 33
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1483 vs Pytsko 1459
Gazhula
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 60% vs Pytsko 40%
Gazhula
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 40% vs Pytsko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula -2 · Pytsko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.83 / Pytsko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pytsko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435824
Gazhula1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Pytsko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGazhula5wins
AwayPytsko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGazhula83.3%5 of 6
AwayPytsko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula6Pytsko4n = 10Gazhula took 6 of 10
S2Gazhula5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Gazhula6Pytsko4n = 10Gazhula took 6 of 10
S4Gazhula4Pytsko2n = 6Gazhula took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGazhulaPytskoG − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.035.1+1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 492 vs 315 / 57148.2%55.2%237 / 492 vs 315 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoGazhula 1.83/Pytsko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 24:15O. Gazhula—111011113I. Pytsko—512861
WAug 8 · 17:55O. Gazhula—1113113I. Pytsko—91180
LAug 7 · 20:15O. Gazhula—129101392I. Pytsko—10111211113
WJul 25 · 09:25O. Gazhula—1111113I. Pytsko—6590
LJul 24 · 18:25O. Gazhula—3111181I. Pytsko—11139113
LMar 4 · 11:35O. Gazhula—6480I. Pytsko—1111113
WMar 3 · 19:05O. Gazhula—11126113I. Pytsko—4101191
LFeb 25 · 11:25O. Gazhula—111181192I. Pytsko—138112113
LFeb 24 · 18:55O. Gazhula—591261I. Pytsko—111110103
WFeb 24 · 03:00O. Gazhula—1111113I. Pytsko—5860
O. Gazhula10
WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171WAug 15 · 24:15O. Gazhula1.91111011113I. Pytsko1.80512861WAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112WAug 14 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.9111113113O. Lutsyshyn1.80381131LAug 9 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi2.00116116113O. Gazhula1.7391131182
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LAug 15 · 24:15O. Gazhula1.91111011113I. Pytsko1.80512861
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