TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12428924
Played Aug 14Finished
Oleksii Gazhula
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113118311113––
Oleh Lutsyshyn
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:50 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeOleh Lutsyshyn to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Oleh Lutsyshyn below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 61 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Oleh Lutsyshyn at 56.8%
61 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 8–4 Oleh Lutsyshyn Oleh Lutsyshyn has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lutsyshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Gazhula
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1445 vs Lutsyshyn 1575
Lutsyshyn
Wrong
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 0% vs Lutsyshyn 40%
Lutsyshyn
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 30% vs Lutsyshyn 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula -5 · Lutsyshyn +1
Gazhula
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Lutsyshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lutsyshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.91 / Lutsyshyn 1.80
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Lutsyshyn)+5.3pp
Setka Cup · #12428924
Gazhula1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Lutsyshyn1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 47 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGazhula6wins
AwayLutsyshyn4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGazhula leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGazhula60%3 of 5
AwayLutsyshyn40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula5Lutsyshyn5n = 10split evenly
S2Gazhula5Lutsyshyn5n = 10split evenly
S3Gazhula6Lutsyshyn4n = 10Gazhula took 6 of 10
S4Gazhula5Lutsyshyn2n = 7Gazhula took 5 of 7
S5Gazhula2Lutsyshyn2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGazhulaLutsyshynG − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.8+1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaLutsyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 482 vs 80 / 15147.9%53%231 / 482 vs 80 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LutsyshynGazhula 1.91/Lutsyshyn 1.80
Miss
What we said
56.8%
Lutsyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 08:25O. Gazhula—781351O. Lutsyshyn—111111113
LAug 8 · 11:55O. Gazhula—12121010112O. Lutsyshyn—10101212133
LAug 8 · 24:45O. Gazhula—127811112O. Lutsyshyn—1011118133
WJun 14 · 05:55O. Gazhula—711511123O. Lutsyshyn—119118102
WJun 13 · 11:55O. Gazhula—11911123O. Lutsyshyn—7115101
WJun 7 · 04:25O. Gazhula—591314113O. Lutsyshyn—1111111252
LJun 6 · 11:55O. Gazhula—4770O. Lutsyshyn—1111113
WJun 6 · 24:45O. Gazhula—1212113O. Lutsyshyn—101030
WMay 31 · 08:25O. Gazhula—1111123O. Lutsyshyn—67100
WMay 30 · 11:55O. Gazhula—101111113O. Lutsyshyn—128671
O. Gazhula10
WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171WAug 15 · 24:15O. Gazhula1.91111011113I. Pytsko1.80512861WAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112LAug 9 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi2.00116116113O. Gazhula1.7391131182
O. Lutsyshyn10
WAug 23 · 10:25M. Slozka2.50341141O. Lutsyshyn1.5011114113LAug 23 · 09:25O. Lutsyshyn2.385760R. Andrishak1.531111113WAug 23 · 08:25O. Lutsyshyn1.361111811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0078111322WAug 23 · 06:55O. Lutsyshyn1.571211615113V. Korobko2.25142111332WAug 23 · 04:55O. Lutsyshyn1.61119116123I. Pytsko2.20811311102WAug 22 · 17:55M. Potapov2.0011491382O. Lutsyshyn1.738111111113WAug 22 · 16:55O. Lutsyshyn1.7311116113I. Pytsko2.00791181WAug 22 · 15:55O. Lutsyshyn1.361011811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0012811262WAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182LAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880
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