TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472260
Played Aug 22Finished
Oleh Lutsyshyn
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012118811112116
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Lutsyshyn to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Lutsyshyn above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Lutsyshyn at 77.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Lutsyshyn 9–3 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Volodymyr Hrybeniuk has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Lutsyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Lutsyshyn
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lutsyshyn 1595 vs Hrybeniuk 1490
Lutsyshyn
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lutsyshyn 80% vs Hrybeniuk 60%
Lutsyshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lutsyshyn 70% vs Hrybeniuk 40%
Lutsyshyn
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lutsyshyn +2 · Hrybeniuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Lutsyshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrybeniuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLutsyshyn 1.36 / Hrybeniuk 3.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Lutsyshyn)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472260
Lutsyshyn1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 55 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Hrybeniuk3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 53 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLutsyshyn8wins
AwayHrybeniuk2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLutsyshyn leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLutsyshyn100%6 of 6
AwayHrybeniuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lutsyshyn6Hrybeniuk4n = 10Lutsyshyn took 6 of 10
S2Lutsyshyn5Hrybeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Lutsyshyn7Hrybeniuk3n = 10Lutsyshyn took 7 of 10
S4Lutsyshyn5Hrybeniuk0n = 5Lutsyshyn took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLutsyshynHrybeniukL − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.931.6+5.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLutsyshynHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 172 vs 164 / 31854.1%51.6%93 / 172 vs 164 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LutsyshynLutsyshyn 1.36/Hrybeniuk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Lutsyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lutsyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 23:15O. Lutsyshyn—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—7560
WAug 16 · 09:55O. Lutsyshyn—871311113V. Hrybeniuk—111111882
WAug 15 · 18:25O. Lutsyshyn—1311123V. Hrybeniuk—119100
WAug 15 · 03:15O. Lutsyshyn—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—7760
LAug 9 · 09:55O. Lutsyshyn—71090V. Hrybeniuk—1112113
WAug 8 · 17:25O. Lutsyshyn—121210113V. Hrybeniuk—10101251
WAug 7 · 23:45O. Lutsyshyn—15811113V. Hrybeniuk—1311411
WAug 2 · 20:00O. Lutsyshyn—11911113V. Hrybeniuk—711421
LJul 4 · 18:25O. Lutsyshyn—9240V. Hrybeniuk—1111113
WJul 4 · 01:13O. Lutsyshyn—71312123V. Hrybeniuk—111110101
O. Lutsyshyn10
WAug 23 · 10:25M. Slozka2.50341141O. Lutsyshyn1.5011114113LAug 23 · 09:25O. Lutsyshyn2.385760R. Andrishak1.531111113WAug 23 · 08:25O. Lutsyshyn1.361111811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0078111322WAug 23 · 06:55O. Lutsyshyn1.571211615113V. Korobko2.25142111332WAug 23 · 04:55O. Lutsyshyn1.61119116123I. Pytsko2.20811311102WAug 22 · 17:55M. Potapov2.0011491382O. Lutsyshyn1.738111111113WAug 22 · 16:55O. Lutsyshyn1.7311116113I. Pytsko2.00791181WAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 12:25O. Lutsyshyn1.671111113M. Slozka2.101940LAug 22 · 02:15O. Lutsyshyn1.736890M. Potapov2.001111113
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 23 · 08:25O. Lutsyshyn1.361111811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0078111322
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