TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477660
Played Aug 23Finished
Oleh Lutsyshyn
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189111136111210
Ivan Pytsko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeOleh Lutsyshyn to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Lutsyshyn above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 92 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Oleh Lutsyshyn at 64.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Lutsyshyn 4–4 Ivan Pytsko Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lutsyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lutsyshyn 1634 vs Pytsko 1552
Lutsyshyn
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lutsyshyn 100% vs Pytsko 40%
Lutsyshyn
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lutsyshyn 70% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lutsyshyn +5 · Pytsko +1
Lutsyshyn
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Lutsyshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lutsyshyn form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLutsyshyn 1.61 / Pytsko 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Lutsyshyn)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477660
Lutsyshyn1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 55 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Pytsko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back36% 8 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back21% 3 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLutsyshyn4wins
AwayPytsko4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLutsyshyn75%3 of 4
AwayPytsko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lutsyshyn4Pytsko4n = 8split evenly
S2Lutsyshyn4Pytsko4n = 8split evenly
S3Lutsyshyn3Pytsko5n = 8Pytsko took 5 of 8
S4Lutsyshyn3Pytsko2n = 5Lutsyshyn took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricLutsyshynPytskoL − PBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.436.4−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLutsyshynPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 179 vs 317 / 57355.3%55.3%99 / 179 vs 317 / 573Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LutsyshynLutsyshyn 1.61/Pytsko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Lutsyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lutsyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 22 · 16:55O. Lutsyshyn—11116113I. Pytsko—791181
LAug 21 · 20:15O. Lutsyshyn—11125882I. Pytsko—8101111113
WAug 16 · 06:25O. Lutsyshyn—91211113I. Pytsko—1110861
WAug 15 · 15:25O. Lutsyshyn—1111123I. Pytsko—66100
LAug 15 · 01:45O. Lutsyshyn—10890I. Pytsko—1211113
LAug 8 · 15:55O. Lutsyshyn—981181I. Pytsko—11115113
WAug 8 · 02:45O. Lutsyshyn—115411113I. Pytsko—91111392
LAug 3 · 24:30O. Lutsyshyn—6750I. Pytsko—1111113
O. Lutsyshyn10
WAug 23 · 10:25M. Slozka2.50341141O. Lutsyshyn1.5011114113LAug 23 · 09:25O. Lutsyshyn2.385760R. Andrishak1.531111113WAug 23 · 08:25O. Lutsyshyn1.361111811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0078111322WAug 23 · 06:55O. Lutsyshyn1.571211615113V. Korobko2.25142111332WAug 22 · 17:55M. Potapov2.0011491382O. Lutsyshyn1.738111111113WAug 22 · 16:55O. Lutsyshyn1.7311116113I. Pytsko2.00791181WAug 22 · 15:55O. Lutsyshyn1.361011811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0012811262WAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 12:25O. Lutsyshyn1.671111113M. Slozka2.101940LAug 22 · 02:15O. Lutsyshyn1.736890M. Potapov2.001111113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LAug 22 · 16:55O. Lutsyshyn1.7311116113I. Pytsko2.00791181
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