TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472178
Played Aug 22Finished
Oleh Lutsyshyn
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
111119114––––
Mykola Slozka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Lutsyshyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Lutsyshyn above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Oleh Lutsyshyn at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Lutsyshyn 3–5 Mykola Slozka Oleh Lutsyshyn has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lutsyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lutsyshyn 1571 vs Slozka 1564
Lutsyshyn
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lutsyshyn 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lutsyshyn 60% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lutsyshyn -1 · Slozka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLutsyshyn 1.67 / Slozka 2.10
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slozka)+9.8pp
Setka Cup · #12472178
Lutsyshyn1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 55 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Slozka2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 94 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLutsyshyn3wins
AwaySlozka5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSlozka leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLutsyshynn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySlozka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lutsyshyn1Slozka7n = 8Slozka took 7 of 8
S2Lutsyshyn4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S3Lutsyshyn4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S4Lutsyshyn4Slozka2n = 6Lutsyshyn took 4 of 6
S5Lutsyshyn1Slozka2n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricLutsyshynSlozkaL − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match38.642.8−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLutsyshynSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 170 vs 325 / 74353.5%43.7%91 / 170 vs 325 / 743Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaLutsyshyn 1.67/Slozka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lutsyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 22 · 24:45O. Lutsyshyn—101111113M. Slozka—127581
LAug 16 · 04:25O. Lutsyshyn—711881M. Slozka—11911113
WAug 15 · 12:55O. Lutsyshyn—481612113M. Slozka—1111141092
LAug 14 · 23:45O. Lutsyshyn—81211472M. Slozka—1110611113
LAug 9 · 06:25O. Lutsyshyn—141151282M. Slozka—1671110113
LAug 8 · 13:55O. Lutsyshyn—8660M. Slozka—111193
WAug 7 · 21:15O. Lutsyshyn—11811143M. Slozka—9117121
LMay 7 · 21:45O. Lutsyshyn—21580M. Slozka—1117113
O. Lutsyshyn10
WAug 23 · 10:25M. Slozka2.50341141O. Lutsyshyn1.5011114113LAug 23 · 09:25O. Lutsyshyn2.385760R. Andrishak1.531111113WAug 23 · 08:25O. Lutsyshyn1.361111811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0078111322WAug 23 · 06:55O. Lutsyshyn1.571211615113V. Korobko2.25142111332WAug 23 · 04:55O. Lutsyshyn1.61119116123I. Pytsko2.20811311102WAug 22 · 17:55M. Potapov2.0011491382O. Lutsyshyn1.738111111113WAug 22 · 16:55O. Lutsyshyn1.7311116113I. Pytsko2.00791181WAug 22 · 15:55O. Lutsyshyn1.361011811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0012811262WAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182LAug 22 · 02:15O. Lutsyshyn1.736890M. Potapov2.001111113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LAug 23 · 10:25M. Slozka2.50341141O. Lutsyshyn1.5011114113
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