TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037727
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711115113––
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hrybeniuk to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 66 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Volodymyr Hrybeniuk at 55.8%
66 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 2–2 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1441 vs Hrybeniuk 1508
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 20% vs Hrybeniuk 80%
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 30% vs Hrybeniuk 60%
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych +1 · Hrybeniuk +3
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrybeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrybeniuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 2.10 / Hrybeniuk 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hrybeniuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037727
Kuzmych2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 6 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Hrybeniuk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 112 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it76% 87 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKuzmych2wins
AwayHrybeniuk2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmych2Hrybeniuk2n = 4split evenly
S2Kuzmych1Hrybeniuk3n = 4Hrybeniuk took 3 of 4
S3Kuzmych2Hrybeniuk2n = 4split evenly
S4Kuzmych3Hrybeniuk0n = 3Kuzmych took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKuzmychHrybeniukK − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match32.535.0−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 69 vs 174 / 34142%51%29 / 69 vs 174 / 341Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrybeniukKuzmych 2.10/Hrybeniuk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Hrybeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych—11711113V. Hrybeniuk—711531
LAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych—4830V. Hrybeniuk—1111113
WJul 25 · 07:55V. Kuzmych—11511113V. Hrybeniuk—911581
LJul 24 · 16:55V. Kuzmych—31131282V. Hrybeniuk—1151110113
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 28 · 11:55I. Pytsko1.9113811113V. Hrybeniuk1.801111381LAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk3.404950M. Slozka1.301111113
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