TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031356
Played Aug 28Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311811113118––
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hrybeniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Volodymyr Hrybeniuk at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 6–9 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Ivan Pytsko has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1514 vs Hrybeniuk 1433
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 60% vs Hrybeniuk 40%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 40% vs Hrybeniuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +2 · Hrybeniuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrybeniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.91 / Hrybeniuk 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pytsko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13031356
Pytsko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 19 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17
Hrybeniuk1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 110 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it87% 53 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 86 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko3wins
AwayHrybeniuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHrybeniuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko50%3 of 6
AwayHrybeniuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko6Hrybeniuk4n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Pytsko5Hrybeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Pytsko3Hrybeniuk7n = 10Hrybeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Pytsko3Hrybeniuk4n = 7Hrybeniuk took 4 of 7
S5Pytsko0Hrybeniuk3n = 3Hrybeniuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoHrybeniukP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.438.5−0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 570 vs 168 / 33155.3%50.8%315 / 570 vs 168 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.91/Hrybeniuk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 22:45I. Pytsko—77121182V. Hrybeniuk—1111108113
LAug 23 · 09:55I. Pytsko—8990V. Hrybeniuk—1111113
LAug 22 · 13:55I. Pytsko—117791V. Hrybeniuk—41111113
WAug 21 · 22:15I. Pytsko—11119113V. Hrybeniuk—971141
LAug 16 · 11:25I. Pytsko—11129692V. Hrybeniuk—9101111113
LAug 15 · 17:25I. Pytsko—86100V. Hrybeniuk—1111123
WAug 14 · 22:15I. Pytsko—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—9670
LAug 8 · 12:25I. Pytsko—1779101V. Hrybeniuk—151111123
WAug 8 · 01:45I. Pytsko—11115113V. Hrybeniuk—551171
LAug 3 · 02:30I. Pytsko—911111292V. Hrybeniuk—115714113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk3.404950M. Slozka1.301111113
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