TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037496
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119118––––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Hrybeniuk above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 62.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hrybeniuk 13–20 Mykola Slozka Volodymyr Hrybeniuk has won 13 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-20 in 33
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 7 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrybeniuk 1467 vs Slozka 1562
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrybeniuk 60% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrybeniuk 40% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrybeniuk -2 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrybeniuk 2.38 / Slozka 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Slozka)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13037496
Hrybeniuk2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 58 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Slozka1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 61 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrybeniuk1wins
AwaySlozka9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrybeniuk25%1 of 4
AwaySlozka100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrybeniuk4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Hrybeniuk3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S3Hrybeniuk4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S4Hrybeniuk2Slozka5n = 7Slozka took 5 of 7
S5Hrybeniuk0Slozka3n = 3Slozka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrybeniukSlozkaH − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.739.4−4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrybeniukSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 339 vs 332 / 75550.7%44%172 / 339 vs 332 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaHrybeniuk 2.38/Slozka 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.4%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrybeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 14:25V. Hrybeniuk—511981M. Slozka—11711113
LAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk—4950M. Slozka—1111113
LAug 28 · 24:15V. Hrybeniuk—113771M. Slozka—41111113
LAug 23 · 04:25V. Hrybeniuk—112111192M. Slozka—411713113
WAug 22 · 17:25V. Hrybeniuk—1111113M. Slozka—8780
LAug 21 · 21:15V. Hrybeniuk—7101191M. Slozka—11128113
LAug 16 · 05:55V. Hrybeniuk—1111771M. Slozka—51311113
LAug 15 · 13:55V. Hrybeniuk—89121172M. Slozka—1111107103
LAug 14 · 21:15V. Hrybeniuk—81271182M. Slozka—1110116113
LAug 9 · 11:25V. Hrybeniuk—59110M. Slozka—1111133
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 28 · 11:55I. Pytsko1.9113811113V. Hrybeniuk1.801111381LAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk3.404950M. Slozka1.301111113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk3.404950M. Slozka1.301111113
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