TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037822
Played Aug 29Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411115911118811
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 7–9 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Ivan Pytsko has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Hrybeniuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1534 vs Hrybeniuk 1496
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 40% vs Hrybeniuk 60%
Hrybeniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 70% vs Hrybeniuk 50%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +1 · Hrybeniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.73 / Hrybeniuk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Pytsko)+1.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037822
Pytsko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite42% won 37 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it64% 29 of 45
Hrybeniuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 58 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko4wins
AwayHrybeniuk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrybeniuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko57.1%4 of 7
AwayHrybeniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko7Hrybeniuk3n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S2Pytsko4Hrybeniuk6n = 10Hrybeniuk took 6 of 10
S3Pytsko3Hrybeniuk7n = 10Hrybeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Pytsko4Hrybeniuk3n = 7Pytsko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoHrybeniukP − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.537.0+0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 579 vs 173 / 34055.4%50.9%321 / 579 vs 173 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.73/Hrybeniuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrybeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 11:55I. Pytsko—13811113V. Hrybeniuk—1111381
LAug 27 · 22:45I. Pytsko—77121182V. Hrybeniuk—1111108113
LAug 23 · 09:55I. Pytsko—8990V. Hrybeniuk—1111113
LAug 22 · 13:55I. Pytsko—117791V. Hrybeniuk—41111113
WAug 21 · 22:15I. Pytsko—11119113V. Hrybeniuk—971141
LAug 16 · 11:25I. Pytsko—11129692V. Hrybeniuk—9101111113
LAug 15 · 17:25I. Pytsko—86100V. Hrybeniuk—1111123
WAug 14 · 22:15I. Pytsko—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—9670
LAug 8 · 12:25I. Pytsko—1779101V. Hrybeniuk—151111123
WAug 8 · 01:45I. Pytsko—11115113V. Hrybeniuk—551171
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 28 · 11:55I. Pytsko1.9113811113V. Hrybeniuk1.801111381LAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk3.404950M. Slozka1.301111113
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